NVGS — Navigator Holdings Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NVGS Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 49, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction49
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Navigator Holdings Ltd

Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also provides ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.67
Market Cap$1.24B
Float33.8M
Shares Outstanding61.7M
P/E (Forward)9.38
P/E (TTM)12.82
Price/Sales (TTM)2.16
vs. Analyst Target+22.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.34%
Revenue (TTM)$576M
Earnings Growth (YoY)38.60%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$25.33 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $332M -$443,000 $70.5M $119M
2021 $406M -$31.0M $93.9M $88.8M
2022 $474M $53.5M $88.9M $209M
2023 $551M $82.3M $171M $265M
2024 $567M $85.6M $320M $270M
2025 $587M $100M $177M $309M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $130M $21.5M
Sep 2025 $153M $33.2M
Dec 2025 $153M $18.5M
Mar 2026 $141M $35.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership45.9%
Institutional Ownership41.2%
Short Float3.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.98%
Number of Funds Holding163

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.60 resistance 1.33x 0 months ago
$15.40 support 1.01x 8 months ago
$14.20 support 1.74x 11 months ago
$12.80 support 1.51x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.03% 0.00% 42.62% 14.60% -8.56%
1 Day 0.91% 0.00% 40.98% 28.68% -14.51%
1 Week 1.93% 0.00% 44.26% 43.57% -18.67%
2 Weeks 1.78% 0.86% 52.46% 40.15% -26.22%
1 Month 1.36% -0.19% 48.33% 49.64% -32.44%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%57.9%19
Feb3.2%65.0%20
Mar-1.6%70.0%20
Apr5.6%60.0%20
May-0.8%45.0%20
Jun-0.1%35.0%20
Jul1.5%36.8%19
Aug-1.0%36.8%19
Sep-0.9%31.6%19
Oct-2.2%42.1%19
Nov-0.3%52.6%19
Dec3.9%42.1%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 33.3% 920
Tuesday 0.07% 32.9% 1007
Wednesday 0.11% 33.5% 1006
Thursday -0.13% 31.4% 987
Friday 0.12% 33.9% 981

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 45.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$726,595.3
Net Shares Change-31,259
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Schroder Michael Chief Operating Officer -$590,775 1 1 sell
Lindeman Oeyvind Chief Commercial Officer -$135,820.3 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-22 Schroder Michael Chief Operating Officer -$590,775 Transaction at $23.63, now -12.5%
2026-06-02 Lindeman Oeyvind Chief Commercial Officer -$135,820.3 Transaction at $21.70, now -4.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NVGS on Trend Edge →