Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Natera Inc
Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, engages in the development and commercialization of molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Signatera, a personalized ctDNA blood test for MRD assessment, early recurrence monitoring, and evaluation of treatment response in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Latitude, a blood-based MRD test for colorectal cancer; Altera, a tissue based comprehensive genomic profiling test; and Empower, a heredi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Diagnostics & Research
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: July 2, 2015
Headquarters: 13011 McCallen Pass, Austin, TX, United States, 78753
Founder-Led: Yes — Matthew Rabinowitz (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$203.11
Market Cap
$29.41B
Float
138.9M
Shares Outstanding
143.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)
11.76
vs. Analyst Target
+28.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-9.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-12.39%
Revenue (TTM)
$2.50B
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$260.89 (21 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$391M
-$230M
$187M
-$206M
2021
$625M
-$472M
$307M
-$452M
2022
$820M
-$548M
$364M
-$507M
2023
$1.08B
-$435M
$493M
-$383M
2024
$1.70B
-$190M
$1.02B
-$148M
2025
$2.31B
-$208M
$1.50B
-$264M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$547M
-$101M
Sep 2025
$592M
-$87.5M
Dec 2025
$666M
$47.3M
Mar 2026
$697M
-$85.1M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
3.0%
Institutional Ownership
95.9%
Short Float
2.9%
% of All Funds Holding
8.64%
Number of Funds Holding
710
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$199.00
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$203.55
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$180.89
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$113.97
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$204.45
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$178.84
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$125.82
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$199.00
support
1.13x
5 months ago
$133.00
support
1.04x
8 months ago
$121.00
support
1.19x
17 months ago
$104.00
support
1.06x
20 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
2.10%
1.78%
68.18%
15.13%
-29.42%
1 Day
4.05%
5.26%
68.18%
26.84%
-18.57%
1 Week
5.49%
3.71%
65.91%
38.11%
-18.66%
2 Weeks
5.20%
2.48%
52.27%
39.09%
-40.24%
1 Month
9.12%
8.26%
72.09%
63.36%
-34.95%
Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-1.8%
63.6%
11
Feb
1.9%
54.5%
11
Mar
0.2%
45.5%
11
Apr
3.6%
72.7%
11
May
9.9%
80.0%
10
Jun
11.8%
80.0%
10
Jul
0.1%
40.0%
10
Aug
15.3%
81.8%
11
Sep
-4.9%
36.4%
11
Oct
-3.8%
36.4%
11
Nov
10.0%
54.5%
11
Dec
-0.1%
36.4%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.13%
48.6%
512
Tuesday
0.09%
50.4%
565
Wednesday
0.18%
51.9%
561
Thursday
0.30%
49.1%
552
Friday
0.35%
54.7%
550
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 95.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 3.0%
Founder-led management: Matthew Rabinowitz (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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