NTB — Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NTB Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 41, actionability 32. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability32 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited provides a range of community, commercial, and private banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The company offers retail and corporate checking, savings, and term deposits. It also provides lending products and services, including residential mortgage lending, automobile lending, credit cards, consumer financing, overdraft facilities to retail customers, commercial real esta… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$58.97
Market Cap$2.31B
Float38.7M
Shares Outstanding39.3M
P/E (TTM)10.40
Price/Sales (TTM)3.69
vs. Analyst Target+8.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin37.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)32.12%
Revenue (TTM)$625M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.20%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$64.00 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $502M $147M $502M $212M
2021 $522M $163M $500M $235M
2022 $606M $214M $549M $258M
2023 $762M $225M $579M $262M
2024 $816M $216M $580M $263M
2025 $800M $232M $607M $267M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $201M $61.1M
Dec 2025 $203M $63.8M
Mar 2026 $156M $62.6M
Jun 2026 $160M $46.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership74.3%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.84%
Number of Funds Holding250

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$60.79Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$54.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$48.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$38.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$48.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$40.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$57.00 support 1.44x 1 months ago
$43.00 support 1.42x 9 months ago
$35.00 support 1.18x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (41 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.43% 58.54% 6.22% -6.14%
1 Day 0.92% 0.03% 51.22% 14.57% -22.76%
1 Week 1.21% 1.41% 60.98% 14.59% -21.23%
2 Weeks 0.69% 1.39% 56.10% 13.24% -19.79%
1 Month 0.17% 0.90% 60.00% 24.01% -44.60%

Next earnings: October 15, 2026 (49 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%60.0%10
Feb5.2%60.0%10
Mar-7.1%40.0%10
Apr5.3%80.0%10
May-0.6%50.0%10
Jun1.6%60.0%10
Jul4.2%70.0%10
Aug-2.9%22.2%9
Sep-0.4%33.3%9
Oct1.9%70.0%10
Nov6.1%90.0%10
Dec-0.7%50.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 51.9% 468
Tuesday 0.03% 46.9% 514
Wednesday 0.04% 51.5% 511
Thursday 0.06% 51.8% 502
Friday 0.05% 50.3% 501

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 74.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$22.8M
Net Shares Change-368,297
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Collins Michael W Chief Executive Officer -$16.3M 2 2 sell
McWatt Michael Managing Director, Cayman -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Saunders Richard Managing Director, CIUK -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Pearce Jane Managing Director, Trust -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Lynch Mark T +$564,940 1 1 buy
Feldman Jody Terence Managing Director, Bermuda -$449,535 1 1 sell
Neff Michael Walter Chief Operating Officer -$350,125.6 1 1 sell
Wright John R -$297,500 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-31 – 2026-08-05 6 6 -$4.9M 5 C-suite
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-26 4 4 -$14.6M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-26 McWatt Michael Managing Director, Cayman -$525,728.7 Transaction at $58.41, now +1.0%
2026-08-17 Neff Michael Walter Chief Operating Officer -$350,125.6 Transaction at $63.66, now -7.4%
2026-08-05 McWatt Michael Managing Director, Cayman -$741,319.2 Transaction at $61.78, now -4.5%
2026-07-31 Feldman Jody Terence Managing Director, Bermuda -$449,535 Transaction at $59.94, now -1.6%
2026-06-02 Lynch Mark T +$564,940 Transaction at $56.49, now +4.4%
2026-06-16 Collins Michael W Chief Executive Officer -$3.6M Transaction at $58.69, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NTB on Trend Edge →