NRGV — Energy Vault Holdings Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Energy Vault Holdings Inc

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage solutions in the United States, Switzerland, United Kingdom, North America, Australia, and internationally. The company offers B-Vault, an electrochemical battery energy storage solution for short-duration energy storage needs; G-Vault, a gravity energy storage solution for long-duration energy storage needs; and H-Vault, a hydrogen or hybrid energy storage solution. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.25
Market Cap$922M
Float141.8M
Shares Outstanding178.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)4.25
vs. Analyst Target-4.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-52.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)-110.61%
Revenue (TTM)$217M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.01 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$24.2M N/A -$14.5M
2021 $42.9M -$31.3M -$2.4M -$28.9M
2022 $146M -$78.3M $59.3M -$69.4M
2023 $342M -$98.4M $17.5M -$97.9M
2024 $46.2M -$136M $6.2M -$135M
2025 $204M -$104M $48.0M -$81.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $8.5M -$34.9M
Sep 2025 $33.3M -$26.8M
Dec 2025 $153M -$20.7M
Mar 2026 $21.9M -$32.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.6%
Institutional Ownership46.6%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.75%
Number of Funds Holding144

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.40 support 1.08x 0 months ago
$2.00 support 1.91x 7 months ago
$1.10 support 1.49x 8 months ago
$0.80 support 1.05x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.91% -0.57% 38.10% 16.34% -21.07%
1 Day -0.82% 0.00% 47.62% 27.95% -28.86%
1 Week 0.18% 0.50% 66.67% 28.70% -29.03%
2 Weeks -0.10% -1.76% 42.86% 53.76% -31.94%
1 Month -2.94% -7.03% 40.00% 60.80% -42.63%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.20% 45.4% 240
Tuesday 0.46% 49.6% 268
Wednesday 0.62% 47.7% 266
Thursday 0.12% 48.6% 259
Friday -0.23% 42.1% 261

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 46.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.6%

Founder-led management: Robert Piconi (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO), Andrea Pedretti (Co-Founder & CTO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings36
Net Value-$822,205.457
Net Shares Change-2,898,681
% of Float-2.0%
C-Suite Filings22
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Piconi Robert Chief Executive Officer +$308,417.32 6 6 buy
Ertel Thomas R +$18,365.955 1 1 buy
Mandanas Mary Beth +$18,250 1 1 buy
Paulson Larry +$15,726 1 1 buy
Ladwa Akshay Chief Operations Officer +$12,340 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-10 – 2025-06-10 3 3 -$35,389.575 3 C-suite
2025-07-18 – 2025-07-18 4 4 -$53,512.452 4 C-suite
2025-08-12 – 2025-08-21 4 4 +$86,518.67 1 C-suite
2025-08-27 – 2025-08-29 7 5 +$269,495.69 2 C-suite
2025-09-12 – 2025-09-26 8 5 -$515,302.5 6 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-05 4 4 +$70,844.455 2 C-suite
2026-03-26 – 2026-04-08 3 3 -$89,830 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-01 Piconi Robert Chief Executive Officer +$40,120 Transaction at $3.21, now +63.6%
2026-03-04 Ladwa Akshay Chief Operations Officer +$12,340 Transaction at $3.08, now +70.2%
2026-02-26 Piconi Robert Chief Executive Officer +$24,412.5 Transaction at $3.25, now +61.3%
2026-03-26 Mandanas Mary Beth +$18,250 Transaction at $3.65, now +43.8%
2026-03-05 Ertel Thomas R +$18,365.955 Transaction at $3.37, now +55.8%
2026-03-02 Paulson Larry +$15,726 Transaction at $3.15, now +66.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NRGV on Trend Edge →