NOV — NOV Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NOV Inc.

NOV Inc. designs, constructs, manufactures, and sells systems, components, and products for oil and gas drilling and production, and industrial and renewable energy sectors in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Energy Equipment, and Energy Products and Services. The Energy Products and Services segment offers drill bits and borehole enlargement products; independent drilling and intervention downhole tools equipme… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.26
Market Cap$7.49B
Float356.9M
Shares Outstanding358.9M
P/E (Forward)11.60
P/E (TTM)83.44
Price/Sales (TTM)0.86
vs. Analyst Target+4.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.29%
Revenue (TTM)$8.69B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-73.70%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$21.20 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.09B -$2.54B $434M -$2.34B
2021 $5.52B -$250M $774M $153M
2022 $7.24B $155M $1.33B $617M
2023 $8.58B $993M $1.83B $651M
2024 $8.87B $635M $2.01B $1.26B
2025 $8.74B $145M $1.77B $818M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.19B $108M
Sep 2025 $2.18B $42.0M
Dec 2025 $2.28B -$78.0M
Mar 2026 $2.05B $20.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership106.7%
Short Float7.6%
% of All Funds Holding5.27%
Number of Funds Holding433

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.99Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.70 support 1.16x 0 months ago
$20.60 resistance 1.27x 1 months ago
$18.00 support 1.16x 2 months ago
$15.80 support 1.09x 3 months ago
$13.20 support 1.13x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (118 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.07% 0.00% 45.76% 8.31% -16.92%
1 Day 0.51% 0.54% 54.24% 10.46% -7.82%
1 Week 1.09% 0.40% 53.39% 46.75% -37.37%
2 Weeks 1.40% 1.36% 57.63% 60.95% -47.47%
1 Month 1.66% 1.39% 56.78% 42.72% -52.12%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (48 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%50.0%30
Feb3.1%60.0%30
Mar1.9%53.3%30
Apr2.4%56.7%30
May1.2%48.3%29
Jun0.5%55.2%29
Jul1.4%62.1%29
Aug-2.5%51.7%29
Sep0.5%44.8%29
Oct2.5%51.7%29
Nov0.6%53.3%30
Dec3.3%66.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 48.3% 1398
Tuesday 0.06% 50.3% 1528
Wednesday 0.16% 50.6% 1526
Thursday 0.01% 50.1% 1496
Friday 0.17% 51.1% 1490

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$2.8M
Net Shares Change-51,064
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rovig Joseph W President - Energy Equipment -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Weinstock Craig L. Sr. VP. and Gen. Counsel -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Kendall Christian S +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Novak Christy Lynn VP, Corp. Controller, CAO -$322,844.117 1 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-24 – 2025-11-24 4 4 -$489,383.583 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-24 Novak Christy Lynn VP, Corp. Controller, CAO -$322,844.117 Transaction at $14.89, now +36.1%
2025-11-24 Kendall Christian S +$1.0M Transaction at $14.46, now +40.1%
2026-02-24 Weinstock Craig L. Sr. VP. and Gen. Counsel -$655,425 Transaction at $17.54, now +15.5%
2026-02-24 Rovig Joseph W President - Energy Equipment -$655,849.217 Transaction at $17.99, now +12.6%
2025-11-24 Weinstock Craig L. Sr. VP. and Gen. Counsel -$588,903.467 Transaction at $15.03, now +34.8%
2025-11-24 Rovig Joseph W President - Energy Equipment -$589,836 Transaction at $14.75, now +37.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NOV Inc. (NOV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NOV on Trend Edge →