NEXT — Nextdecade Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NEXT Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 34, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction34
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Nextdecade Corp

NextDecade Corporation, an energy company, engages in the construction and development activities related to the liquefaction of natural gas in the United States. The company constructs and develops natural gas liquefaction and export facilities located in the Rio Grande Valley near Brownsville, Texas; and a carbon capture and storage project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.62
Market Cap$1.80B
Float129.8M
Shares Outstanding266.2M
vs. Analyst Target+31.4% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.70 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $196 -$14.3M -$1.8M -$28.0M
2021 N/A -$22.0M -$184,000 -$21.3M
2022 N/A -$60.1M -$162,000 -$59.2M
2023 N/A -$162M -$6.3M -$210M
2024 N/A -$61.8M -$12.7M $306M
2025 N/A -$306M -$12.1M -$328M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$109M
Dec 2025 N/A -$47.3M
Mar 2026 N/A -$136M
Jun 2026 N/A -$65.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership45.6%
Institutional Ownership43.2%
Short Float16.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.36%
Number of Funds Holding208

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.37Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.00 support 1.90x 6 months ago
$10.90 resistance 2.29x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.00% 37.78% 23.08% -9.71%
1 Day 1.34% 0.00% 46.67% 31.79% -8.16%
1 Week 2.23% 0.25% 53.33% 60.51% -34.17%
2 Weeks 1.70% 0.51% 55.56% 46.98% -44.60%
1 Month 5.33% 0.95% 61.36% 103.55% -47.48%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.8%63.6%11
Feb0.8%27.3%11
Mar13.5%63.6%11
Apr2.7%45.5%11
May1.7%63.6%11
Jun18.0%81.8%11
Jul-3.0%41.7%12
Aug-1.7%50.0%12
Sep1.4%33.3%12
Oct2.0%45.5%11
Nov0.7%45.5%11
Dec-5.2%18.2%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.17% 38.7% 532
Tuesday 0.44% 41.0% 585
Wednesday -0.20% 41.0% 583
Thursday 0.08% 42.1% 573
Friday 0.38% 42.5% 569

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 43.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 45.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change7,954,025
% of Float6.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$46.7M 9 9 buy
Beall Pamela K.M. +$505,505 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-25 Beall Pamela K.M. +$505,505 Transaction at $7.07, now -6.4%
2025-12-15 Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$9.4M Transaction at $5.69, now +16.3%
2025-12-10 Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$5.7M Transaction at $6.16, now +7.5%
2025-11-26 Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$5.2M Transaction at $5.71, now +16.0%
2025-11-19 Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$6.3M Transaction at $5.94, now +11.4%
2025-11-24 Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. +$4.5M Transaction at $5.86, now +13.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nextdecade Corp (NEXT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NEXT on Trend Edge →