NOA — North American Construction Group Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About North American Construction Group Ltd

North American Construction Group Ltd. provides mining and heavy civil construction services to customers in the resource development and industrial construction sectors in Australia, Canada, and the United States. It operates through Heavy Equipment - Canada, Heavy Equipment - Australia, and Other segments. The company offers mine management services for a thermal coal mine; and construction and operations support services in Canadian oil sands … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.99
Market Cap$392M
Float24.9M
Shares Outstanding27.1M
P/E (Forward)8.10
P/E (TTM)17.85
Price/Sales (TTM)0.31
vs. Analyst Target+96.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.83%
Revenue (TTM)$1.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-9.50%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$27.44 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $498M $49.2M $92.2M $167M
2021 $654M $51.4M $90.4M $187M
2022 $770M $67.4M $102M $227M
2023 $957M $63.1M $154M $253M
2024 $1.17B $44.1M $210M $283M
2025 $1.28B $33.8M $162M $330M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $321M $10.3M
Sep 2025 $317M $17.3M
Dec 2025 $305M $124,898
Mar 2026 $320M $5.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.7%
Institutional Ownership69.7%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.88%
Number of Funds Holding72

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.59Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.41Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.70 resistance 1.60x 1 months ago
$17.60 resistance 1.66x 13 months ago
$25.20 resistance 1.20x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.01% 0.39% 55.13% 17.25% -18.90%
1 Day 2.76% 1.44% 56.41% 31.62% -23.08%
1 Week 2.43% 2.07% 56.41% 42.32% -26.21%
2 Weeks 1.61% -0.88% 48.72% 43.58% -49.33%
1 Month 1.90% -0.20% 45.45% 59.40% -52.94%

Next earnings: August 1, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%40.0%20
Feb11.1%75.0%20
Mar-3.4%30.0%20
Apr3.6%55.0%20
May5.2%47.4%19
Jun-4.2%21.1%19
Jul-1.4%47.4%19
Aug0.8%47.4%19
Sep-2.1%31.6%19
Oct3.6%73.7%19
Nov-0.9%42.1%19
Dec1.9%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.19% 43.9% 919
Tuesday 0.07% 46.6% 1008
Wednesday 0.21% 49.0% 1006
Thursday 0.04% 46.1% 987
Friday 0.15% 49.6% 984

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 69.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for North American Construction Group Ltd (NOA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NOA on Trend Edge →