Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates NGL Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 49, actionability 32. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
40
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
49
Actionability
32 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 13.52 vs px 16.33)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 9.26 vs px 16.33)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 6.17 vs px 16.33)
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.13 · age 8w×1.00 · 3.39%
Seasonal Tailwind — september med 1.8% (mag 1/3) · posClose 60.00% (rel 1/3) · n15 ×1 = 5
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About NGL Energy Partners LP
NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the crude oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, crude oil and produced water businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids Logistics. The Water Solutions segment transports, treats, recycles, and disposes produced and flowback water generated from crude oil and natural gas production; aggregates and sells recovered crude oil; disposes solids… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: May 12, 2011
Headquarters: 6120 South Yale Avenue, Tulsa, OK, United States, 74136
Founder-Led: Yes — H. Michael Krimbill (Chief Executive Officer, Director), Vincent J. Osterman (President, Eastern Retail Operations)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$17.51
Market Cap
$2.22B
Float
111.4M
Shares Outstanding
123.8M
P/E (Forward)
46.08
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.60
vs. Analyst Target
-71.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-3.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)
14.87%
Revenue (TTM)
$3.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1128.60%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$5.00 (1 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2021
$5.23B
-$640M
$733M
$409M
2022
$7.95B
-$185M
$520M
$378M
2023
$5.68B
$51.4M
$716M
$558M
2024
$4.15B
-$144M
$702M
$380M
2025
$3.47B
$39.4M
$707M
$595M
2026
$3.16B
-$180M
$747M
$337M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$675M
$29.3M
Dec 2025
$910M
$47.2M
Mar 2026
$950M
-$326M
Jun 2026
$990M
$78.7M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
11.9%
Institutional Ownership
60.6%
Short Float
3.2%
% of All Funds Holding
0.99%
Number of Funds Holding
87
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$16.20
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$13.54
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$9.27
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$6.17
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$13.90
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$9.34
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$7.02
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$6.30
support
1.03x
8 months ago
$5.40
support
1.15x
10 months ago
$4.20
support
1.85x
11 months ago
$3.60
support
1.33x
13 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.32%
-0.69%
37.70%
13.45%
-16.61%
1 Day
-0.89%
-0.25%
44.26%
26.40%
-22.58%
1 Week
1.86%
0.49%
52.46%
61.40%
-24.92%
2 Weeks
2.35%
1.07%
52.46%
81.29%
-30.67%
1 Month
-1.90%
-3.50%
36.67%
75.44%
-64.62%
Next earnings: August 4, 2026
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
11.9%
93.3%
15
Feb
0.9%
40.0%
15
Mar
-7.5%
40.0%
15
Apr
14.5%
80.0%
15
May
0.8%
60.0%
15
Jun
2.6%
50.0%
16
Jul
-0.2%
37.5%
16
Aug
-4.1%
20.0%
15
Sep
2.5%
60.0%
15
Oct
-6.0%
40.0%
15
Nov
2.1%
53.3%
15
Dec
1.8%
73.3%
15
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.03%
49.2%
719
Tuesday
0.08%
48.0%
790
Wednesday
0.01%
47.1%
787
Thursday
0.05%
45.7%
773
Friday
0.25%
50.8%
771
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 60.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 11.9%
Founder-led management: H. Michael Krimbill (Chief Executive Officer, Director), Vincent J. Osterman (President, Eastern Retail Operations)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NGL Energy Partners LP
(NGL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
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Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.