NGL — NGL Energy Partners LP

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NGL Energy Partners LP

NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined products/renewables, and water solutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids Logistics. The Water Solutions segment transports, treats, recycles, and disposes produced and flowback water generated from crude oil and natural gas production; aggregat… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.78
Market Cap$2.18B
Float110.4M
Shares Outstanding123.8M
P/E (Forward)46.08
Price/Sales (TTM)0.62
vs. Analyst Target-70.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.91%
Revenue (TTM)$3.53B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-60.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.58B -$397M $714M $267M
2021 $5.23B -$640M $733M $409M
2022 $7.95B -$185M $520M $378M
2023 $5.68B $51.4M $716M $558M
2024 $4.15B -$144M $702M $380M
2025 $3.47B $39.4M $707M $595M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $971M $13.7M
Jun 2025 $622M $68.9M
Sep 2025 $675M $29.3M
Dec 2025 $910M $47.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.8%
Institutional Ownership62.7%
Short Float3.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.13%
Number of Funds Holding93

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.30 support 1.03x 5 months ago
$4.20 support 1.85x 8 months ago
$3.60 support 1.33x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (59 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.91% -0.35% 42.37% 13.45% -16.61%
1 Day -0.79% -0.36% 44.07% 26.40% -22.58%
1 Week 1.92% 0.95% 54.24% 61.40% -24.92%
2 Weeks 2.18% 1.07% 50.85% 81.29% -30.67%
1 Month -1.88% -3.56% 37.29% 75.44% -64.62%

Next earnings: May 28, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan11.9%93.3%15
Feb0.9%40.0%15
Mar-7.5%40.0%15
Apr14.5%80.0%15
May0.5%57.1%14
Jun3.2%53.3%15
Jul-0.4%33.3%15
Aug-4.1%20.0%15
Sep2.5%60.0%15
Oct-6.0%40.0%15
Nov2.1%53.3%15
Dec1.8%73.3%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 49.2% 706
Tuesday 0.09% 48.3% 778
Wednesday 0.01% 47.3% 774
Thursday 0.05% 45.4% 760
Friday 0.26% 51.1% 760

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 62.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.8%

Founder-led management: H. Michael Krimbill (Chief Executive Officer, Director), Vincent J. Osterman (President, Eastern Retail Operations)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change100,000
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COLLINGSWORTH JAMES M +$580,160 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-16 COLLINGSWORTH JAMES M +$580,160 Transaction at $5.80, now +189.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NGL on Trend Edge →