NC — NACCO Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NACCO Industries Inc

NACCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the natural resources business. The company operates through three segments: Utility Coal Mining, Contract Mining, and Minerals and Royalties. The Utility Coal Mining operates surface coal mines under long-term contracts for power plants and a synfuels plant. This segment operates coal mines in North Dakota and Mississippi. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$50.22
Market Cap$373M
Float4.2M
Shares Outstanding6.0M
P/E (Forward)6.57
P/E (TTM)17.29
Price/Sales (TTM)1.36
vs. Analyst Target+154.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)-9.64%
Revenue (TTM)$274M
Earnings Growth (YoY)77.30%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$128.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $128M $14.8M $17.0M $33.7M
2021 $192M $48.1M $43.5M $58.6M
2022 $242M $74.2M $67.8M $117M
2023 $215M -$39.6M $14.6M -$32.3M
2024 $238M $33.7M $29.8M $63.9M
2025 $277M $17.6M $37.7M -$14.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $68.2M $3.3M
Sep 2025 $76.6M $13.3M
Dec 2025 $66.8M -$3.8M
Mar 2026 $62.8M $8.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.8%
Institutional Ownership36.6%
Short Float0.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.05%
Number of Funds Holding86

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$49.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$47.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$41.27Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$37.79Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$47.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$41.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$37.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 resistance 1.67x 1 months ago
$44.00 support 1.05x 5 months ago
$28.00 support 1.05x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (126 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.26% 0.03% 51.59% 8.70% -12.22%
1 Day 0.05% -0.04% 48.41% 21.99% -18.92%
1 Week 0.43% 0.45% 52.38% 52.78% -32.27%
2 Weeks -0.13% -0.23% 47.62% 43.90% -41.28%
1 Month 1.23% 0.16% 50.40% 89.12% -30.91%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%53.1%49
Feb0.9%59.2%49
Mar2.5%55.1%49
Apr5.5%67.3%49
May1.3%50.0%48
Jun-1.2%45.8%48
Jul1.6%53.1%49
Aug0.2%42.9%49
Sep-0.0%46.9%49
Oct1.4%53.1%49
Nov2.6%57.1%49
Dec2.7%51.0%49

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 46.4% 2331
Tuesday 0.11% 46.2% 2529
Wednesday 0.10% 47.8% 2528
Thursday 0.07% 47.1% 2479
Friday 0.02% 46.9% 2467

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 36.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$739,056.117
Net Shares Change-15,602
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Loveman Elizabeth SVP and Controller -$652,394.367 4 4 sell
Maxwell Thomas A SVP Finance and Treasurer -$86,661.75 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-16 Loveman Elizabeth SVP and Controller -$296,429.049 Transaction at $51.87, now -3.2%
2026-03-09 Maxwell Thomas A SVP Finance and Treasurer -$86,661.75 Transaction at $48.55, now +3.4%
2025-11-12 Loveman Elizabeth SVP and Controller -$135,525.839 Transaction at $45.22, now +11.1%
2025-09-05 Loveman Elizabeth SVP and Controller -$125,694.573 Transaction at $39.18, now +28.2%
2025-11-13 Loveman Elizabeth SVP and Controller -$94,744.906 Transaction at $49.94, now +0.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NACCO Industries Inc (NC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NC on Trend Edge →