BTU — Peabody Energy Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Peabody Energy Corp

Peabody Energy Corporation engages in the production of metallurgical and thermal coal. It operates through Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, and Other U.S. Thermal segments. The company operates mines in New South Wales and Queensland in Australia and in Alabama and Wyoming in the United States; mining, preparation, and sale of thermal coal, sold primarily to electric utilities; surface mining extraction processes, co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$23.59
Market Cap$2.93B
Float108.5M
Shares Outstanding121.8M
P/E (Forward)24.69
Price/Sales (TTM)0.75
vs. Analyst Target+50.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.70%
Revenue (TTM)$3.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-62.60%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$35.58 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.88B -$1.87B $356M -$1.37B
2021 $3.32B $360M $765M $907M
2022 $4.98B $1.30B $1.69B $1.79B
2023 $4.95B $760M $1.56B $1.51B
2024 $4.24B $371M $816M $955M
2025 $3.86B -$52.9M $106M $431M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $890M -$27.6M
Sep 2025 $1.01B -$70.1M
Dec 2025 $1.02B $10.4M
Mar 2026 $973M -$32.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership106.8%
Short Float12.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.07%
Number of Funds Holding314

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$28.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.88Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$27.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.30 support 1.20x 7 months ago
$13.40 support 1.49x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (36 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.89% -0.16% 44.44% 9.43% -15.40%
1 Day -0.63% -0.48% 47.22% 25.64% -22.19%
1 Week -1.42% -0.95% 41.67% 28.26% -32.67%
2 Weeks -0.07% -1.00% 41.67% 47.79% -39.96%
1 Month 1.21% -3.09% 38.89% 74.36% -49.26%

Next earnings: May 5, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan9.0%77.8%9
Feb0.3%33.3%9
Mar-6.9%22.2%9
Apr-1.2%44.4%9
May7.4%55.6%9
Jun2.2%66.7%9
Jul8.3%66.7%9
Aug3.9%55.6%9
Sep3.7%55.6%9
Oct-10.7%22.2%9
Nov0.1%44.4%9
Dec7.9%55.6%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.40% 49.3% 428
Tuesday 0.13% 49.6% 470
Wednesday 0.05% 47.8% 467
Thursday -0.27% 48.4% 459
Friday 0.27% 49.0% 459

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$1.6M
Net Shares Change-46,043
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Spurbeck Mark EVP and CFO -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Yeates Darren Ronald EVP and COO -$505,668.8 1 1 sell
Jarboe Scott T. CAO and Corporate Secretary -$73,693.26 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-06 Spurbeck Mark EVP and CFO -$1.1M Transaction at $35.58, now -33.7%
2026-02-12 Yeates Darren Ronald EVP and COO -$505,668.8 Transaction at $36.40, now -35.2%
2026-01-16 Jarboe Scott T. CAO and Corporate Secretary -$73,693.26 Transaction at $34.26, now -31.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BTU on Trend Edge →