MZTI — The Marzetti Company

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MZTI Bearish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 33, actionability 68. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction33
Actionability68 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About The Marzetti Company

The Marzetti Company engages in manufacturing and marketing of specialty food products for the retail and foodservice channels in the United States. It operates in two segments, Retail and Foodservice. The Retail segment offers frozen garlic bread under the New York Bakery brand; frozen Parkerhouse style yeast and dinner rolls under the Sister Schubert's brand; salad dressings under the Marzetti, Cardini's, Marzetti Simply, and Girard's brands; v… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$99.30
Market Cap$2.79B
Float19.5M
Shares Outstanding27.3M
P/E (Forward)36.10
P/E (TTM)14.64
Price/Sales (TTM)1.45
vs. Analyst Target+47.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.90%
Revenue (TTM)$1.93B
Earnings Growth (YoY)49.50%
Dividend Rate4.0%
Analyst Target Price$146.60 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.47B $142M $387M $226M
2022 $1.68B $89.6M $356M $190M
2023 $1.82B $111M $389M $218M
2024 $1.87B $159M $432M $270M
2025 $1.91B $167M $456M $288M
2026 $1.93B $192M $477M $263M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $493M $47.2M
Dec 2025 $518M $59.1M
Mar 2026 $453M $37.1M
Jun 2026 $475M $32.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership29.3%
Institutional Ownership71.9%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.80%
Number of Funds Holding334

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$106.47Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$127.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$150.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$171.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$124.86Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$147.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$164.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$112.00 resistance 1.52x 0 months ago
$116.00 resistance 1.17x 2 months ago
$130.00 resistance 1.95x 4 months ago
$138.00 resistance 1.72x 5 months ago
$162.00 resistance 1.91x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (95 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.10% 55.79% 2.41% -1.97%
1 Day 0.19% -0.23% 47.37% 6.33% -6.15%
1 Week 0.49% 0.47% 60.00% 13.61% -9.23%
2 Weeks 0.73% 0.87% 62.11% 12.03% -13.53%
1 Month 1.10% 1.69% 61.70% 17.25% -14.32%

Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%39.1%46
Feb2.1%56.5%46
Mar1.5%63.0%46
Apr-1.4%40.4%47
May1.1%57.4%47
Jun0.9%61.7%47
Jul1.4%57.4%47
Aug0.6%57.4%47
Sep-0.6%51.1%47
Oct1.8%56.5%46
Nov3.3%69.6%46
Dec2.7%65.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 43.1% 2218
Tuesday 0.06% 45.5% 2407
Wednesday 0.07% 45.1% 2405
Thursday 0.06% 45.6% 2359
Friday 0.07% 44.4% 2343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 71.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 29.3%

Founder-led management: John B. Gerlach (Executive Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$135,870.666
Net Shares Change-1,318
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Viso Luis Strategic Advisor to CEO -$233,979.666 2 2 sell
Pigott, Thomas K. VP, CFO and Asst. Secretary +$98,109 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-11 Viso Luis Strategic Advisor to CEO -$100,512.156 Transaction at $100.81, now -1.5%
2026-06-11 Pigott, Thomas K. VP, CFO and Asst. Secretary +$98,109 Transaction at $109.01, now -8.9%
2026-06-12 Viso Luis Chief Supply Chain Officer -$133,467.51 Transaction at $109.31, now -9.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for The Marzetti Company (MZTI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MZTI on Trend Edge →