MTRX — Matrix Service Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MTRX Bullish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 28, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Matrix Service Co

Matrix Service Company provides engineering, fabrication, construction, and maintenance services to support critical energy infrastructure and industrial markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company's Storage and Terminal Solutions segment offers engineering, procurement, fabrication, and construction services related to cryogenic, specialty tanks, and terminals for LNG, NGLs, hydrogen, ammonia, propane, butane, liquid n… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.49
Market Cap$359M
Float26.9M
Shares Outstanding28.1M
P/E (Forward)21.65
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target+60.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.94%
Revenue (TTM)$845M
Earnings Growth (YoY)175.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$20.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.10B -$33.1M $102M -$15.9M
2021 $673M -$31.2M $32.8M -$23.8M
2022 $708M -$63.9M -$1.2M -$40.1M
2023 $795M -$52.4M $30.8M -$37.0M
2024 $728M -$25.0M $40.5M -$12.9M
2025 $769M -$29.5M $39.7M -$18.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $216M -$11.3M
Sep 2025 $212M -$3.7M
Dec 2025 $211M -$894,000
Mar 2026 $207M $835,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.5%
Institutional Ownership87.2%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.59%
Number of Funds Holding131

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.20 resistance 1.17x 4 months ago
$15.10 resistance 1.01x 7 months ago
$9.90 support 1.28x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.44% 0.00% 37.40% 20.24% -29.37%
1 Day -0.41% 0.00% 48.78% 29.76% -35.26%
1 Week -0.32% -0.32% 46.34% 37.35% -33.33%
2 Weeks 0.25% 0.00% 49.59% 34.13% -32.32%
1 Month 3.35% 2.80% 56.56% 47.80% -40.45%

Next earnings: September 9, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%47.2%36
Feb2.0%47.2%36
Mar-1.0%47.2%36
Apr1.3%55.6%36
May1.2%58.3%36
Jun-1.5%44.4%36
Jul0.4%60.0%35
Aug2.9%60.0%35
Sep-1.2%40.0%35
Oct3.6%63.9%36
Nov3.8%66.7%36
Dec3.3%63.9%36

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 44.5% 1698
Tuesday 0.06% 46.0% 1848
Wednesday 0.16% 47.3% 1846
Thursday -0.02% 45.6% 1812
Friday 0.16% 47.8% 1802

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value-$6.5M
Net Shares Change35,973
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings21
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HEWITT JOHN R President & CEO -$2.1M 2 2 sell
SHEETS JUSTIN D SVP, Enterprise Services -$535,322.23 2 2 sell
Cavanah Kevin S VP Finance & CFO -$533,226.59 1 1 sell
AUSTIN NANCY E VP, Chief Admin Officer -$340,852.13 2 2 sell
PAYNE SHAWN P President, Eng & Constr -$323,494.53 1 1 sell
MONTALBANO DOUGLAS J President, Matrix NAC -$249,902.21 1 1 sell
CHANDLER JOHN D +$29,313.04 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-28 – 2025-09-02 12 6 -$3.9M 12 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 SHEETS JUSTIN D SVP, Enterprise Services -$229,378.5 Transaction at $13.50, now -7.5%
2026-05-12 HEWITT JOHN R President & CEO -$450,172.8 Transaction at $12.50, now -0.1%
2026-02-19 AUSTIN NANCY E VP, Chief Admin Officer -$47,345.26 Transaction at $11.29, now +10.6%
2025-09-17 CHANDLER JOHN D +$29,313.04 Transaction at $12.74, now -2.0%
2025-09-02 HEWITT JOHN R President & CEO -$1.7M Transaction at $15.13, now -17.4%
2025-09-02 SHEETS JUSTIN D VP, Legal & Ops Services -$305,943.73 Transaction at $15.13, now -17.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Matrix Service Co (MTRX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTRX on Trend Edge →