MTCH — Match Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Match Group Inc

Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. The company's portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and other brands, built to increase users' likelihood of connecting with others. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.40
Market Cap$8.33B
Float231.9M
Shares Outstanding233.3M
P/E (Forward)9.40
P/E (TTM)13.64
Price/Sales (TTM)2.37
vs. Analyst Target+16.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)27.37%
Revenue (TTM)$3.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.00%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$41.06 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.39B $162M $1.76B $803M
2021 $2.98B $278M $2.14B $428M
2022 $3.19B $362M $2.23B $663M
2023 $3.36B $652M $2.41B $1.05B
2024 $3.48B $551M $2.49B $952M
2025 $3.49B $613M $2.54B $999M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $864M $125M
Sep 2025 $914M $161M
Dec 2025 $878M $210M
Mar 2026 $864M $167M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership109.4%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding6.59%
Number of Funds Holding542

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$32.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$37.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (43 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.15% 0.00% 48.84% 18.11% -21.71%
1 Day 0.48% 1.46% 53.49% 24.16% -17.87%
1 Week -0.06% -0.21% 46.51% 30.29% -22.89%
2 Weeks 0.14% -0.09% 47.62% 24.43% -26.89%
1 Month 0.89% 0.88% 54.76% 37.10% -28.07%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (79 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.9%45.5%33
Feb1.9%64.7%34
Mar0.1%58.8%34
Apr0.8%52.9%34
May5.6%57.6%33
Jun3.9%57.6%33
Jul5.8%57.6%33
Aug2.8%45.5%33
Sep-1.7%45.5%33
Oct0.7%48.5%33
Nov1.7%54.5%33
Dec3.5%63.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 48.0% 1576
Tuesday 0.11% 48.1% 1721
Wednesday 0.11% 48.7% 1720
Thursday 0.15% 47.3% 1687
Friday 0.07% 47.5% 1680

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 109.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change-54,827
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hosseini Hesam Chief Operating Officer -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Rascoff Spencer M Chief Executive Officer +$943,552.2 2 2 buy
Bailey Stephen -$458,951.25 1 1 sell
Eigenmann Philip D Chief Accounting Officer -$373,393.817 1 1 sell
MCDANIEL ANN -$203,774.106 1 1 sell
Brenner Melissa Anne -$184,761.371 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-28 – 2025-09-05 3 3 -$79,307.123 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Brenner Melissa Anne -$184,761.371 Transaction at $35.94, now -1.5%
2025-11-20 Rascoff Spencer M Chief Executive Officer +$445,691.4 Transaction at $31.84, now +11.2%
2026-03-06 Hosseini Hesam Chief Operating Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $30.13, now +17.5%
2025-08-28 Rascoff Spencer M Chief Executive Officer +$497,860.8 Transaction at $37.57, now -5.8%
2025-08-29 MCDANIEL ANN -$203,774.106 Transaction at $37.58, now -5.8%
2025-08-08 Bailey Stephen -$458,951.25 Transaction at $36.72, now -3.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Match Group Inc (MTCH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTCH on Trend Edge →