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Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier homesite option platform for residential homebuilders. The company specializes in the acquisition and horizontal development of land to provide a predictable, just-in-time supply of finished homesites " the scarcest and mission-critical resource in the homebuilding industry. Unlike traditional land bankers, Millrose utilizes a proprietary technology platform that provides real-time feedback and data analyt… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $28.06 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.57B |
| Float | 153.2M |
| Shares Outstanding | 154.2M |
| P/E (TTM) | 9.87 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 6.42 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +37.6% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 64.96% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 85.20% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $713M |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 89.70% |
| Dividend Rate | 3.0% |
| Analyst Target Price | $38.60 (2 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | -$144M | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | N/A | -$210M | N/A | -$210M |
| 2024 | N/A | -$246M | N/A | -$246M |
| 2025 | $600M | $380M | $513M | $492M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $149M | $113M |
| Sep 2025 | $179M | $105M |
| Dec 2025 | $190M | $122M |
| Mar 2026 | $195M | $123M |
| Insider Ownership | 1.1% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 93.2% |
| Short Float | 3.2% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 5.51% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 453 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $28.79 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $30.81 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $0.00 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $0.00 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $30.94 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $0.00 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $0.00 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Volume shelf data not available.
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 0.42% | 0.20% | 83.33% | 2.38% | -2.16% |
| 1 Day | -0.51% | 0.32% | 50.00% | 2.95% | -4.58% |
| 1 Week | -0.54% | -0.64% | 50.00% | 4.50% | -4.31% |
| 2 Weeks | -1.52% | -1.11% | 50.00% | 5.84% | -9.03% |
| 1 Month | 4.73% | -0.04% | 40.00% | 19.15% | -10.00% |
Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (57 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 93.2%
Total insider ownership: 1.1%
| Total Filings | 11 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | +$6.5M |
| Net Shares Change | 256,927 |
| % of Float | 0.2% |
| C-Suite Filings | 4 |
| Clusters Detected | 2 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richman Darren | Chief Executive Officer and President | +$6.4M | 1 | 2 buy |
| BARTELS PATRICK J JR | +$243,864 | 1 | 1 buy | |
| Gorson Matthew B. | +$233,732.5 | 3 | 3 buy | |
| Lynch Kathleen B. | +$59,032.68 | 1 | 1 buy | |
| Nitkin Robert | Chief Operating Officer | +$48,944 | 1 | 1 buy |
| Presa Rachel | General Counsel and Secretary | +$43,275.468 | 2 | 2 buy |
| MIGOYA CARLOS A. | +N/A | 1 | 1 buy |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 – 2025-10-31 | 3 | 3 | +$340,987.981 | 1 C-suite |
| 2026-05-13 – 2026-05-19 | 4 | 4 | +$6.6M | 3 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Richman Darren | Chief Executive Officer and President | +$6.4M | Transaction at $27.31, now +2.7% |
| 2026-05-13 | Presa Rachel | General Counsel and Secretary | +$27,876.487 | Transaction at $27.01, now +3.9% |
| 2026-05-13 | Nitkin Robert | Chief Operating Officer | +$48,944 | Transaction at $26.60, now +5.5% |
| 2026-05-19 | Gorson Matthew B. | +$121,342.5 | Transaction at $26.96, now +4.1% | |
| 2026-03-09 | Gorson Matthew B. | +$30,665 | Transaction at $30.66, now -8.5% | |
| 2025-12-01 | MIGOYA CARLOS A. | +N/A | N/A |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for MRP on Trend Edge →