MRK — Merck & Company Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Merck & Company Inc

Merck & Co., Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide. It offers human health pharmaceutical for various areas under the Keytruda, Keytruda Qlex, Welireg, Gardasil, ProQuad, M-M-R II, Varivax, Vaxneuvance, Capvaxive, RotaTeq, Pneumovax 23, Bridion, Prevymis, Dificid, Zerbaxa, Winrevair, Adempas/ Verquvo, Ohtuvayre, Lagevrio, Isentress/Isentress HD, Delstrigo, Pifeltro, Belsomra, Januvia, and Janumet brands. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$119.72
Market Cap$286.20B
Float2.47B
Shares Outstanding2.47B
P/E (Forward)22.32
P/E (TTM)32.64
Price/Sales (TTM)4.35
vs. Analyst Target+8.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)38.60%
Revenue (TTM)$65.77B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-19.30%
Dividend Rate3.4%
Analyst Target Price$129.74 (26 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $41.52B $7.07B $27.90B $10.18B
2021 $48.70B $13.05B $35.08B $17.90B
2022 $59.28B $14.52B $41.87B $21.32B
2023 $60.12B $365M $43.99B $6.91B
2024 $64.17B $17.12B $48.98B $25.71B
2025 $64.93B $18.25B $46.73B $29.32B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $15.80B $4.43B
Sep 2025 $17.18B $5.79B
Dec 2025 $16.32B $2.96B
Mar 2026 $16.29B -$4.24B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership82.0%
Short Float1.1%
% of All Funds Holding42.65%
Number of Funds Holding3,505

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$116.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$104.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$96.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$105.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$104.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$97.55Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.03Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$125.00 resistance 1.10x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.08% 51.64% 2.89% -8.43%
1 Day -0.09% -0.06% 48.36% 8.38% -11.32%
1 Week -0.15% -0.20% 45.90% 16.77% -12.28%
2 Weeks 0.08% 0.24% 52.46% 10.20% -16.15%
1 Month 1.02% 1.19% 55.37% 25.01% -30.59%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%54.9%51
Feb-0.4%41.2%51
Mar-0.1%60.8%51
Apr1.5%58.8%51
May1.3%60.0%50
Jun1.5%54.0%50
Jul0.3%44.0%50
Aug0.7%54.0%50
Sep-0.5%50.0%50
Oct1.3%50.0%50
Nov3.1%72.0%50
Dec1.4%58.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 49.0% 2384
Tuesday 0.07% 50.1% 2586
Wednesday 0.05% 48.8% 2587
Thursday 0.00% 47.7% 2537
Friday 0.04% 49.8% 2524

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$23.8M
Net Shares Change-168,453
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Davis Robert M Chairman, CEO and President -$5.6M 1 1 sell
Guindo Chirfi Chief Marketing Officer -$4.8M 3 3 sell
DeLuca Richard R. EVPandPres, Merck Animal Heallth -$4.6M 1 1 sell
Litchfield Caroline EVP and CFO -$2.8M 1 1 sell
Oosthuizen Johannes Jacobus President, U.S. Market -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Li Dean Y Executive VP and President, MRL -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Smart Dalton E. III SVP Fin. - Global Controller -$517,640 1 1 sell
Zachary Jennifer EVP, General Counsel +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-12 12 9 -$22.5M 12 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-12 Guindo Chirfi Chief Marketing Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $121.46, now -1.4%
2026-02-10 Li Dean Y Executive VP and President, MRL -$1.2M Transaction at $117.52, now +1.9%
2026-02-09 Guindo Chirfi Chief Marketing Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $118.41, now +1.1%
2026-02-06 Oosthuizen Johannes Jacobus President, U.S. Market -$1.8M Transaction at $121.87, now -1.8%
2026-02-06 Guindo Chirfi Chief Marketing Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $121.88, now -1.8%
2026-02-06 DeLuca Richard R. EVPandPres, Merck Animal Heallth -$4.6M Transaction at $120.92, now -1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Merck & Company Inc (MRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MRK on Trend Edge →