MPTI — M-tron Industries, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MPTI Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 34, actionability 54. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability54 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About M-tron Industries, Inc.

M-tron Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets frequency and spectrum control products to control the frequency and timing of signals in electronic circuits in the United States and internationally. The company provides radio frequency, microwave, and millimeter wave filters; cavity, crystal, ceramic, lumped element, and switched filters; high performance and high frequency oven-controlled crystal oscillators (OCXO), integrated phase-… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$87.83
Market Cap$387M
Float4.1M
Shares Outstanding4.3M
P/E (Forward)38.17
P/E (TTM)33.76
Price/Sales (TTM)6.86
vs. Analyst Target-4.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.33%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.77%
Revenue (TTM)$56.4M
Earnings Growth (YoY)19.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$84.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $30.0M $2.3M $10.3M $3.5M
2021 $26.7M $1.6M $9.3M $2.7M
2022 $31.8M $1.8M $11.3M $3.3M
2023 $41.2M $3.5M $16.8M $5.3M
2024 $49.0M $7.6M $22.6M $10.7M
2025 $54.4M $8.4M $24.1M $12.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.3M $1.6M
Sep 2025 $14.2M $1.8M
Dec 2025 $14.2M $3.4M
Mar 2026 $14.7M $2.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.8%
Institutional Ownership53.5%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.02%
Number of Funds Holding84

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$88.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$66.91Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$56.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$70.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$58.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$44.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$68.00 support 1.40x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (15 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.21% 2.40% 53.33% 24.78% -12.84%
1 Day 1.16% -0.62% 40.00% 27.86% -23.84%
1 Week 3.82% 5.28% 53.33% 37.17% -26.22%
2 Weeks 4.55% 5.00% 60.00% 46.02% -31.17%
1 Month 3.04% -2.09% 42.86% 68.23% -32.89%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.95% 59.1% 176
Tuesday 0.29% 46.7% 195
Wednesday 0.12% 50.3% 193
Thursday 0.05% 52.9% 187
Friday 0.15% 48.1% 189

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$100,637.46
Net Shares Change-2,227
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pforr Cameron CEO and CFO -$56,095.2 1 1 sell
Drafts William Arnold President -$24,107.58 1 1 sell
Biles Linda M Executive VP - Finance -$20,434.68 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-06 3 3 -$100,637.46 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-06 Pforr Cameron CEO and CFO -$56,095.2 Transaction at $66.78, now +31.5%
2026-05-06 Drafts William Arnold President -$24,107.58 Transaction at $66.78, now +31.5%
2026-05-06 Biles Linda M Executive VP - Finance -$20,434.68 Transaction at $66.78, now +31.5%
2026-04-15 Biles Linda M Executive VP - Finance +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPTI on Trend Edge →