LPTH — LightPath Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About LightPath Technologies Inc

LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical systems and assemblies in the United States. It offers precision molded glass aspheric optics, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, spherical lenses, and other optical components used to produce products that manipulate light; and infrared products, including catalog and custom infrared optics. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.61
Market Cap$897M
Float56.9M
Shares Outstanding62.8M
P/E (Forward)217.39
Price/Sales (TTM)14.28
vs. Analyst Target-9.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-37.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.49%
Revenue (TTM)$62.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)4911.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.97 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $35.0M $866,929 $13.8M $5.5M
2021 $38.5M -$3.2M $13.4M $2.2M
2022 $35.6M -$3.5M $11.8M $999,744
2023 $32.9M -$4.0M $11.1M -$458,345
2024 $31.7M -$8.0M $8.6M -$3.0M
2025 $37.2M -$14.9M $10.1M -$4.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $12.2M -$7.1M
Sep 2025 $15.1M -$2.9M
Dec 2025 $16.4M -$9.4M
Mar 2026 $19.1M -$4.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership61.1%
Short Float6.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.48%
Number of Funds Holding122

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.33Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.00 support 1.53x 0 months ago
$10.30 support 1.49x 0 months ago
$7.20 support 2.04x 4 months ago
$5.00 support 4.10x 7 months ago
$3.00 support 2.86x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (97 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.13% 0.00% 36.08% 83.95% -14.13%
1 Day 0.11% -0.97% 38.14% 51.28% -25.83%
1 Week -0.57% -2.36% 38.14% 126.40% -31.28%
2 Weeks -0.30% -2.30% 36.08% 118.80% -37.90%
1 Month 1.98% -5.26% 39.58% 172.00% -45.86%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan18.0%66.7%30
Feb0.5%40.0%30
Mar-2.8%29.0%31
Apr0.7%35.5%31
May1.2%40.0%30
Jun7.1%40.0%30
Jul2.6%43.3%30
Aug2.5%43.3%30
Sep-0.3%36.7%30
Oct0.2%43.3%30
Nov-0.6%43.3%30
Dec7.4%46.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 41.1% 1432
Tuesday 0.15% 40.3% 1564
Wednesday 0.09% 40.4% 1561
Thursday 0.27% 41.4% 1530
Friday 0.33% 40.6% 1525

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 61.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$1,745.1
Net Shares Change2,935,008
% of Float5.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$25.1M 8 8 sell
Rubin Shmuel President and CEO +$1,745.1 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Rubin Shmuel President and CEO +$1,745.1 Transaction at $9.70, now +81.6%
2026-05-14 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$3.6M Transaction at $12.21, now +44.3%
2026-03-26 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$2.8M Transaction at $7.21, now +144.2%
2026-05-20 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$681,098.88 Transaction at $12.32, now +42.9%
2026-02-27 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$3.7M Transaction at $12.18, now +44.6%
2026-03-04 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$6.6M Transaction at $7.13, now +146.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LPTH on Trend Edge →