LPTH — LightPath Technologies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LPTH Bullish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 34, actionability 85. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction34
Actionability85 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About LightPath Technologies Inc

LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical systems and assemblies in the United States, the United Kingdom, Israel, China, Rest of Europe, Rest of Asia and internationally. It offers optical components, assemblies and sub-systems, including precision molded glass aspheric optics, thermal imaging assemblies, molded and diamond-turned infrared aspheric lenses, spherical lenses, and other optical components… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.72
Market Cap$682M
Float69.3M
Shares Outstanding70.0M
P/E (Forward)217.39
Price/Sales (TTM)9.51
vs. Analyst Target+62.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-28.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)-5.04%
Revenue (TTM)$71.7M
Earnings Growth (YoY)4911.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.80 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $38.5M -$3.2M $13.4M $2.2M
2022 $35.6M -$3.5M $11.8M $999,744
2023 $32.9M -$4.0M $11.1M -$458,345
2024 $31.7M -$8.0M $8.6M -$3.0M
2025 $37.2M -$14.9M $10.1M -$4.9M
2026 $71.72T -$20.55T $25.8M $3.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $15.1M -$2.9M
Dec 2025 $16.4M -$9.4M
Mar 2026 $19.1M -$4.1M
Jun 2026 $71.72T -$20.55T

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership79.9%
Short Float14.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.86%
Number of Funds Holding164

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.70 resistance 1.05x 2 months ago
$7.20 support 2.04x 9 months ago
$5.00 support 4.10x 12 months ago
$3.00 support 2.86x 13 months ago
$1.70 support 5.00x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (98 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.08% 0.00% 35.71% 83.95% -14.13%
1 Day 0.06% -1.12% 37.76% 51.28% -25.83%
1 Week -0.54% -2.32% 38.78% 126.40% -31.28%
2 Weeks -0.27% -2.26% 36.73% 118.80% -37.90%
1 Month 2.16% -5.00% 40.21% 172.00% -45.86%

Next earnings: November 10, 2026 (31 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan18.0%66.7%30
Feb0.5%40.0%30
Mar-2.8%29.0%31
Apr0.7%35.5%31
May2.2%41.9%31
Jun6.7%38.7%31
Jul1.3%41.9%31
Aug2.4%41.9%31
Sep-0.2%38.7%31
Oct0.2%43.3%30
Nov-0.6%43.3%30
Dec7.4%46.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 41.0% 1450
Tuesday 0.17% 40.4% 1582
Wednesday 0.07% 40.4% 1580
Thursday 0.29% 41.7% 1549
Friday 0.30% 40.5% 1542

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value+$1,745.1
Net Shares Change2,935,008
% of Float4.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$67.5M 9 9 sell
Rubin Shmuel President & CEO +$1,745.1 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Rubin Shmuel President & CEO +$1,745.1 Transaction at $9.70, now +0.3%
2026-05-14 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$3.6M Transaction at $12.21, now -20.4%
2026-06-04 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$42.3M Transaction at $8.07, now +20.4%
2026-05-20 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$681,098.88 Transaction at $12.32, now -21.1%
2026-02-24 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$6.4M Transaction at $7.29, now +33.3%
2026-03-26 North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP -$2.8M Transaction at $7.21, now +34.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LPTH on Trend Edge →