MPLX — MPLX LP

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MPLX LP

MPLX LP owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Crude Oil and Products Logistics; and Natural Gas and NGL Services. The company is involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas; gathering, transportation, fractionation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids; gathering, storage, transportation, and distribution of crude oi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$55.71
Market Cap$56.44B
Float365.7M
Shares Outstanding1.01B
P/E (Forward)12.20
P/E (TTM)12.04
Price/Sales (TTM)4.81
vs. Analyst Target+9.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin40.03%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.13%
Revenue (TTM)$11.74B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-18.40%
Dividend Rate4.3%
Analyst Target Price$60.71 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.40B -$720M $3.75B $1.53B
2021 $9.57B $3.08B $4.05B $5.19B
2022 $10.54B $3.94B $4.29B $6.06B
2023 $10.43B $3.93B $4.56B $6.09B
2024 $10.90B $4.32B $4.82B $6.59B
2025 $11.82B $4.91B $5.34B $7.29B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.79B $1.05B
Sep 2025 $3.62B $1.54B
Dec 2025 $3.10B $1.19B
Mar 2026 $2.86B $912M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership64.0%
Institutional Ownership20.2%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding7.32%
Number of Funds Holding602

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$55.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$54.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$52.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$43.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$54.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$52.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$45.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$59.00 resistance 1.09x 1 months ago
$52.00 support 1.05x 5 months ago
$45.00 support 1.15x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.04% 54.55% 3.48% -3.40%
1 Day 0.10% -0.40% 47.27% 5.15% -4.35%
1 Week -1.05% -0.85% 41.82% 14.53% -24.38%
2 Weeks 0.35% 0.48% 52.73% 17.70% -14.73%
1 Month 0.82% 0.09% 52.73% 27.83% -16.72%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%85.7%14
Feb-2.2%35.7%14
Mar-1.4%42.9%14
Apr6.0%64.3%14
May-0.7%46.2%13
Jun0.5%61.5%13
Jul-1.0%53.8%13
Aug-1.5%30.8%13
Sep-3.0%53.8%13
Oct2.9%76.9%13
Nov3.7%64.3%14
Dec1.6%57.1%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 51.3% 640
Tuesday 0.12% 49.3% 702
Wednesday 0.00% 49.5% 699
Thursday 0.05% 49.2% 685
Friday 0.07% 53.4% 685

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 20.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 64.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MPLX LP (MPLX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MPLX on Trend Edge →