Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Hello Group Inc
Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. It offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, as well as other video- and audio-based interac… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Founder-Led: Yes — Yan Tang (Executive Chairman & CEO), Sichuan Zhang (COO & Director), Li Wang (President & Executive Director)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$6.23
Market Cap
$937M
Float
201.0M
Shares Outstanding
107.6M
P/E (Forward)
6.44
P/E (TTM)
9.19
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.09
vs. Analyst Target
+39.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
7.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)
11.92%
Revenue (TTM)
$10.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.10%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$8.72 (9 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$14.20B
$1.99B
$6.52B
$2.52B
2021
$14.39B
-$2.88B
$6.01B
$2.07B
2022
$12.93B
$1.51B
$5.34B
$1.75B
2023
$12.00B
$1.96B
$4.94B
$2.25B
2024
$10.71B
$1.05B
$4.14B
$1.55B
2025
$10.08B
$787M
$3.79B
$1.36B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$2.60B
-$139M
Sep 2025
$2.64B
$347M
Dec 2025
$2.54B
$234M
Mar 2026
$2.54B
$234M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.0%
Institutional Ownership
75.4%
Short Float
0.9%
% of All Funds Holding
1.59%
Number of Funds Holding
123
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$6.06
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$6.85
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$6.99
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$7.09
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$6.75
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$6.92
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$7.16
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$8.20
resistance
1.07x
7 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.06%
-1.24%
44.44%
18.72%
-23.08%
1 Day
-1.02%
-2.77%
40.00%
29.33%
-22.29%
1 Week
0.81%
-0.09%
48.89%
59.62%
-28.73%
2 Weeks
0.25%
-2.43%
46.67%
63.24%
-31.35%
1 Month
1.00%
-1.56%
46.67%
101.14%
-43.87%
Next earnings: June 4, 2026 (24 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
3.5%
58.3%
12
Feb
2.8%
58.3%
12
Mar
-4.3%
33.3%
12
Apr
2.8%
41.7%
12
May
3.8%
45.5%
11
Jun
3.5%
45.5%
11
Jul
3.0%
54.5%
11
Aug
6.7%
63.6%
11
Sep
-10.6%
18.2%
11
Oct
1.0%
63.6%
11
Nov
-2.6%
27.3%
11
Dec
1.9%
45.5%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.01%
50.9%
536
Tuesday
0.16%
48.1%
590
Wednesday
0.13%
47.0%
587
Thursday
-0.10%
46.4%
575
Friday
-0.01%
48.3%
575
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 75.4%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.0%
Founder-led management: Yan Tang (Executive Chairman & CEO), Sichuan Zhang (COO & Director), Li Wang (President & Executive Director)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hello Group Inc
(MOMO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.