MMS — Maximus Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MMS Bearish with a Setup Score of 71, net conviction 36, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score71
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction36
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Maximus Inc

Maximus, Inc. operates as a provider of government services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Federal Services, U.S. Services, and Outside the U.S. The U.S. Federal Services segment offers business process services, eligibility and enrollment, outreach, and other services for federal health and human services programs; clinical services; and technology solutions, such as application development and modernization service… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$58.53
Market Cap$3.02B
Float51.6M
Shares Outstanding52.4M
P/E (Forward)19.08
P/E (TTM)8.54
Price/Sales (TTM)0.58
vs. Analyst Target+58.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.62%
Revenue (TTM)$5.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)4.80%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$92.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.46B $215M $675M $396M
2021 $4.25B $291M $903M $503M
2022 $4.63B $204M $849M $465M
2023 $4.90B $162M $934M $456M
2024 $5.31B $307M $1.16B $624M
2025 $5.43B $319M $1.25B $675M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.32B $75.3M
Dec 2025 $1.35B $93.9M
Mar 2026 $1.31B $98.1M
Jun 2026 $1.28B $104M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership110.6%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.99%
Number of Funds Holding351

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$57.64Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$70.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$73.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$77.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$70.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$73.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$78.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$61.00 resistance 1.14x 1 months ago
$66.00 resistance 1.25x 2 months ago
$74.00 resistance 1.26x 4 months ago
$94.00 resistance 1.43x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.00% 44.83% 9.12% -6.21%
1 Day 0.23% 0.02% 51.72% 13.00% -8.21%
1 Week 0.73% 0.54% 56.90% 32.88% -10.95%
2 Weeks 0.59% 0.92% 53.45% 20.65% -10.22%
1 Month 0.63% 0.36% 50.43% 44.02% -25.44%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.4%44.8%29
Feb-0.3%48.3%29
Mar1.0%55.2%29
Apr0.8%55.2%29
May1.2%58.6%29
Jun-0.6%48.3%29
Jul3.7%70.0%30
Aug-1.2%27.6%29
Sep2.1%41.4%29
Oct0.3%48.3%29
Nov3.4%69.0%29
Dec3.8%72.4%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 50.8% 1381
Tuesday 0.11% 50.6% 1508
Wednesday 0.03% 50.1% 1508
Thursday 0.05% 50.9% 1477
Friday 0.06% 50.2% 1469

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$665,517.445
Net Shares Change-227
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Link Michelle F. Chief of Human Resources -$990,223.417 2 N/A
Caswell Bruce CEO & President +$249,080.973 1 1 buy
Mutryn David Chief Financial Officer +$75,625 1 1 buy
Madsen Jan -$53,609.5 1 N/A
RAJAN GAYATHRI +$7,272.824 2 2 buy
Warren Michael J. +$2,476.29 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-02 – 2025-12-03 3 3 -$632,956.831 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-09 Mutryn David Chief Financial Officer +$75,625 Transaction at $75.62, now -22.6%
2026-02-11 Caswell Bruce CEO & President +$249,080.973 Transaction at $78.45, now -25.4%
2025-12-02 Warren Michael J. +$1,240.257 Transaction at $86.11, now -32.0%
2025-12-02 RAJAN GAYATHRI +$3,642.624 Transaction at $86.11, now -32.0%
2025-09-03 Warren Michael J. +$1,236.034 Transaction at $87.58, now -33.2%
2025-09-03 RAJAN GAYATHRI +$3,630.2 Transaction at $87.58, now -33.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Maximus Inc (MMS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MMS on Trend Edge →