MLM — Martin Marietta Materials Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MLM Bearish with a Setup Score of 28, net conviction 29, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score28
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction29
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Martin Marietta Materials Inc

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It operates through East Group and West Group segments. The company offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; and paving products and services for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresident… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$531.74
Market Cap$31.55B
Float59.6M
Shares Outstanding60.1M
P/E (Forward)28.49
P/E (TTM)34.18
Price/Sales (TTM)4.72
vs. Analyst Target+24.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin36.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.19%
Revenue (TTM)$6.69B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-23.20%
Dividend Rate3.4%
Analyst Target Price$662.65 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.73B $721M $1.25B $1.40B
2021 $5.41B $703M $1.35B $1.45B
2022 $6.16B $867M $1.42B $1.77B
2023 $6.78B $1.17B $2.02B $2.17B
2024 $6.54B $2.00B $1.88B $3.34B
2025 $6.54B $1.14B $1.96B $2.15B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.85B $414M
Dec 2025 $1.53B $279M
Mar 2026 $1.36B $1.51B
Jun 2026 $1.95B $256M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership101.8%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding12.15%
Number of Funds Holding1,069

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$560.37Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$604.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$583.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$520.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$599.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$577.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$546.73Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$571.00 resistance 1.31x 0 months ago
$621.00 resistance 1.19x 2 months ago
$666.00 resistance 1.47x 4 months ago
$475.00 support 1.06x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.00% 47.54% 3.40% -3.57%
1 Day 0.53% 0.16% 53.28% 15.30% -5.59%
1 Week 0.98% 1.39% 56.56% 29.97% -16.49%
2 Weeks 1.47% 1.23% 59.02% 18.73% -16.16%
1 Month 1.49% 1.44% 58.68% 22.39% -34.77%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%62.5%32
Feb2.4%62.5%32
Mar2.1%60.6%33
Apr2.9%69.7%33
May0.9%54.5%33
Jun0.2%45.5%33
Jul0.6%54.5%33
Aug-2.5%34.4%32
Sep-0.9%46.9%32
Oct0.9%56.3%32
Nov4.2%71.9%32
Dec2.8%65.6%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 47.4% 1538
Tuesday 0.08% 48.8% 1680
Wednesday 0.07% 48.1% 1678
Thursday 0.13% 51.0% 1646
Friday 0.06% 50.8% 1639

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MLM on Trend Edge →