EXP — Eagle Materials Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EXP Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 31, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Eagle Materials Inc

Eagle Materials Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heavy construction products and light building materials in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. It engages in the mining of limestone for the manufacture, production, distribution, and sale of portland cement, including Portland limestone cement; grinding and sale of slag; and min… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$198.87
Market Cap$6.22B
Float30.3M
Shares Outstanding30.7M
P/E (Forward)15.85
P/E (TTM)16.26
Price/Sales (TTM)2.68
vs. Analyst Target+13.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin17.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.67%
Revenue (TTM)$2.32B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.50%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$225.89 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.62B $339M $408M $598M
2022 $1.86B $374M $520M $635M
2023 $2.15B $462M $639M $763M
2024 $2.26B $478M $685M $811M
2025 $2.26B $463M $673M $793M
2026 $2.31B $424M $653M $764M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $639M $137M
Dec 2025 $556M $103M
Mar 2026 $479M $60.2M
Jun 2026 $651M $102M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership109.9%
Short Float6.4%
% of All Funds Holding6.04%
Number of Funds Holding531

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$211.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$211.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$216.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$210.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$210.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$217.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$222.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$223.00 resistance 1.19x 0 months ago
$232.00 resistance 1.03x 9 months ago
$252.00 resistance 1.05x 17 months ago
$309.00 resistance 1.03x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.16% 55.65% 16.31% -7.63%
1 Day 0.73% 0.13% 53.23% 26.67% -9.08%
1 Week 1.97% 1.67% 62.10% 30.44% -12.92%
2 Weeks 2.33% 2.12% 63.71% 30.34% -27.47%
1 Month 2.76% 2.14% 64.23% 43.34% -32.91%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%56.3%32
Feb0.7%53.1%32
Mar3.5%62.5%32
Apr3.2%68.8%32
May0.3%54.5%33
Jun-1.5%42.4%33
Jul3.3%54.5%33
Aug0.1%40.6%32
Sep-1.3%46.9%32
Oct0.1%40.6%32
Nov5.3%75.0%32
Dec2.5%59.4%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.3% 1531
Tuesday 0.11% 50.2% 1672
Wednesday 0.05% 48.1% 1671
Thursday 0.16% 50.2% 1639
Friday 0.09% 50.1% 1632

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 109.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-2,815
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Carter Margot Lebenberg -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Rush David E +$208,080 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-03 Carter Margot Lebenberg -$1.1M Transaction at $204.87, now -2.9%
2025-11-07 Rush David E +$208,080 Transaction at $208.08, now -4.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EXP on Trend Edge →