MKC — McCormick & Company Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MKC Bearish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 39, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About McCormick & Company Incorporated

McCormick & Company, Incorporated manufactures, markets, and distributes herbs, spices, seasoning mixes, condiments, and other flavorful products to the food industry. It operates in two segments, Consumer and Flavor Solutions. The Consumer segment offers spices, herbs, and seasonings, as well as condiments, sauces, and desserts. This segment markets its products under the McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Lawry's, Cholula Hot Sauce, Club Hous… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$54.48
Market Cap$14.85B
Float265.5M
Shares Outstanding254.1M
P/E (Forward)16.42
P/E (TTM)9.39
Price/Sales (TTM)2.01
vs. Analyst Target+11.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.42%
Revenue (TTM)$7.39B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-14.20%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$60.62 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.60B $747M $2.30B $1.18B
2021 $6.32B $755M $2.49B $1.22B
2022 $6.35B $682M $2.27B $1.16B
2023 $6.66B $624M $2.50B $963M
2024 $6.72B $789M $2.59B $1.32B
2025 $6.84B $789M $2.59B $1.34B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $1.72B $226M
Nov 2025 $1.85B $227M
Feb 2026 $1.87B $1.02B
May 2026 $1.94B $160M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership96.9%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding10.88%
Number of Funds Holding957

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$52.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$57.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$64.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$72.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$57.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$65.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$70.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$47.00 support 1.48x 1 months ago
$70.00 resistance 1.47x 4 months ago
$75.00 resistance 1.09x 12 months ago
$82.00 resistance 1.24x 15 months ago
$83.00 resistance 1.02x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 44.72% 3.18% -9.76%
1 Day 0.13% 0.03% 52.03% 15.75% -11.83%
1 Week 0.46% 0.24% 52.85% 21.96% -11.47%
2 Weeks 0.75% 1.04% 56.10% 17.42% -11.47%
1 Month 1.43% 1.55% 62.30% 29.12% -16.87%

Next earnings: October 6, 2026 (41 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%47.1%51
Feb1.9%56.9%51
Mar2.9%70.6%51
Apr1.1%52.9%51
May0.9%52.9%51
Jun1.4%52.9%51
Jul0.3%54.9%51
Aug1.0%56.0%50
Sep-1.4%48.0%50
Oct1.4%54.0%50
Nov2.2%68.0%50
Dec1.1%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 43.9% 2397
Tuesday 0.06% 46.1% 2599
Wednesday 0.08% 45.7% 2600
Thursday 0.05% 44.9% 2550
Friday 0.12% 49.0% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$891,446.4
Net Shares Change-35,914
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kurzius Lawrence Erik -$5.3M 4 4 sell
Foley Brendan M Chairman, President & CEO -$891,446.4 1 1 sell
Tapiero Jacques -$155,100 2 2 sell
Hattersley Gavin +$105,960 1 1 buy
MANGAN MICHAEL D -$89,800 1 1 sell
Conway Michael Aaron +$55,227.37 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-13 4 3 -$1.4M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-27 Conway Michael Aaron +$55,227.37 Transaction at $50.21, now +8.5%
2026-08-12 Kurzius Lawrence Erik -$752,700.71 Transaction at $50.86, now +7.1%
2026-04-13 Hattersley Gavin +$105,960 Transaction at $52.98, now +2.8%
2025-11-13 Foley Brendan M Chairman, President & CEO -$891,446.4 Transaction at $57.76, now -5.7%
2026-02-13 Kurzius Lawrence Erik -$1.1M Transaction at $60.33, now -9.7%
2025-11-12 Kurzius Lawrence Erik -$2.5M Transaction at $64.54, now -15.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MKC on Trend Edge →