LWAY — Lifeway Foods Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Lifeway Foods Inc

Lifeway Foods, Inc. produces and markets probiotic-based products in North America. The company's primary product is drinkable kefir, a cultured dairy product in various organic and non-organic sizes, flavors, and milk types. It offers European-style soft cheeses, including farmer and white cheeses, and sweet kiss; cream and other products; drinkable yogurt; ProBugs, a line of kefir products designed for children; and Fresh Made butter and sour c… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.17
Market Cap$384M
Float6.3M
Shares Outstanding15.3M
P/E (Forward)29.94
P/E (TTM)26.16
Price/Sales (TTM)1.67
vs. Analyst Target+37.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.04%
Revenue (TTM)$229M
Earnings Growth (YoY)30.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$34.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $102M $3.2M $26.9M $8.2M
2021 $119M $3.3M $28.7M $8.6M
2022 $142M $924,000 $26.8M $5.1M
2023 $160M $11.4M $42.4M $20.2M
2024 $187M $9.0M $48.6M $17.5M
2025 $212M $13.9M $58.2M $20.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $53.9M $4.2M
Sep 2025 $57.1M $3.5M
Dec 2025 $55.4M $2.5M
Mar 2026 $63.0M $4.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership39.4%
Institutional Ownership37.5%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.88%
Number of Funds Holding72

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.40Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.14Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$24.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.37Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.30 support 1.42x 20 months ago
$12.30 support 1.19x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (108 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.34% 0.00% 47.22% 22.84% -11.12%
1 Day -0.13% -0.46% 37.96% 48.62% -25.61%
1 Week 1.60% -1.96% 41.67% 77.50% -35.64%
2 Weeks 2.05% -2.04% 41.67% 70.32% -43.26%
1 Month 3.37% 0.00% 49.07% 98.25% -54.46%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%36.8%38
Feb3.4%47.4%38
Mar7.0%63.2%38
Apr1.9%34.2%38
May4.7%54.1%37
Jun3.4%48.6%37
Jul2.8%56.8%37
Aug6.7%45.9%37
Sep-0.9%48.6%37
Oct3.1%51.4%37
Nov-2.3%40.5%37
Dec-1.2%45.9%37

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 37.9% 1774
Tuesday 0.26% 39.6% 1931
Wednesday -0.01% 38.9% 1929
Thursday 0.02% 37.7% 1894
Friday 0.38% 40.9% 1886

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 39.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$286,681
Net Shares Change-3,483,232
% of Float-55.7%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Danone S.A. -$67.4M 1 1 sell
Zolezzi William +$4.2M 1 1 buy
Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP +$4.2M 1 1 buy
SMOLYANSKY EDWARD -$2.2M 3 3 sell
SMOLYANSKY LUDMILA -$1.1M 3 3 sell
SMOLYANSKY JULIE CEO, President and Secretary -$286,681 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-10 – 2026-03-19 4 3 -$1.5M 1 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-20 5 5 -$60.7M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-19 Zolezzi William +$4.2M Transaction at $25.45, now -1.1%
2026-05-18 Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP +$4.2M Transaction at $25.45, now -1.1%
2026-05-20 Danone S.A. -$67.4M Transaction at $19.50, now +29.1%
2026-05-18 SMOLYANSKY EDWARD -$1.2M Transaction at $25.11, now +0.2%
2026-03-10 SMOLYANSKY JULIE CEO, President and Secretary -$286,681 Transaction at $21.50, now +17.1%
2026-03-19 SMOLYANSKY EDWARD -$255,052.81 Transaction at $17.77, now +41.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lifeway Foods Inc (LWAY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LWAY on Trend Edge →