LW — Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LW Bearish with a Setup Score of 26, net conviction 24, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score26
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. It also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$54.80
Market Cap$7.35B
Float136.1M
Shares Outstanding137.5M
P/E (Forward)17.54
P/E (TTM)25.71
Price/Sales (TTM)1.11
vs. Analyst Target+0.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.77%
Revenue (TTM)$6.61B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.20%
Dividend Rate1.5%
Analyst Target Price$55.25 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $3.67B $318M $832M $655M
2022 $4.10B $201M $832M $626M
2023 $5.35B $1.01B $1.43B $1.57B
2024 $6.47B $726M $1.77B $1.40B
2025 $6.45B $357M $1.40B $1.09B
2026 $6.61B $290M $1.36B $591M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $1.66B $64.3M
Nov 2025 $1.62B $62.1M
Feb 2026 $1.56B $54.0M
May 2026 $1.77B $110M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.9%
Institutional Ownership97.7%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding6.29%
Number of Funds Holding553

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$46.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$74.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$47.46Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$51.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$70.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$59.00 resistance 1.51x 7 months ago
$77.00 resistance 1.21x 19 months ago
$84.00 resistance 2.04x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.34% -0.22% 42.50% 1.88% -2.74%
1 Day 0.08% 0.24% 52.50% 7.12% -6.66%
1 Week 1.31% 1.75% 67.50% 14.51% -14.91%
2 Weeks 1.31% 2.23% 65.00% 17.49% -13.53%
1 Month 2.13% 1.82% 56.41% 16.34% -14.66%

Next earnings: September 29, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%50.0%10
Feb-1.0%50.0%10
Mar-2.5%60.0%10
Apr1.4%60.0%10
May0.6%50.0%10
Jun1.1%50.0%10
Jul-1.0%50.0%10
Aug0.5%55.6%9
Sep0.3%55.6%9
Oct6.2%66.7%9
Nov2.9%55.6%9
Dec1.4%70.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.9% 460
Tuesday 0.07% 50.0% 506
Wednesday -0.05% 50.1% 503
Thursday 0.02% 53.0% 494
Friday 0.28% 57.1% 494

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value+$2.9M
Net Shares Change789,199
% of Float0.6%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JANA Partners Management, LP +$16.1M 2 2 buy
Craps Jan Eli B Executive Chair +$2.4M 1 1 buy
Gray James D Chief Financial Officer +$609,005.6 2 2 buy
Bensen Peter J +$197,225 1 1 buy
Prestage Norman +$103,500 1 1 buy
Jones Gregory W VP AND CONTROLLER -$99,973.12 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-07 – 2026-04-15 4 3 +$16.4M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 Gray James D Chief Financial Officer +$409,225 Transaction at $40.92, now +33.9%
2026-04-28 Gray James D Chief Financial Officer +$199,780.6 Transaction at $43.85, now +25.0%
2026-04-08 Prestage Norman +$103,500 Transaction at $41.40, now +32.4%
2026-04-07 Bensen Peter J +$197,225 Transaction at $39.45, now +38.9%
2026-02-06 Craps Jan Eli B Executive Chair +$2.4M Transaction at $48.65, now +12.6%
2026-04-15 JANA Partners Management, LP +$6.4M Transaction at $42.48, now +29.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LW on Trend Edge →