LFST — Lifestance Health Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LFST Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lifestance Health Group Inc

LifeStance Health Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides outpatient mental health services to children, adolescents, adults, and geriatrics in the United States. The company offers patients a multidisciplinary suite of mental health services, psychiatric evaluations and treatment, psychological, and neuropsychological testing, as well as individual, family, and group therapy. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.28
Market Cap$4.83B
Float249.2M
Shares Outstanding382.1M
P/E (Forward)75.76
P/E (TTM)97.31
Price/Sales (TTM)3.05
vs. Analyst Target+12.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.19%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.25%
Revenue (TTM)$1.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1927.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.80 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $377M -$38.1M $134M $8.8M
2021 $668M -$307M $202M -$240M
2022 $860M -$216M $237M -$144M
2023 $1.06B -$186M $302M -$105M
2024 $1.25B -$57.4M $402M $39.9M
2025 $1.42B $9.7M $461M $78.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $364M $1.1M
Dec 2025 $382M $11.7M
Mar 2026 $403M $14.2M
Jun 2026 $435M $23.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.2%
Institutional Ownership95.6%
Short Float3.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.23%
Number of Funds Holding284

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.18Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.84Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.70 support 1.20x 0 months ago
$7.80 support 1.32x 1 months ago
$6.30 support 1.57x 3 months ago
$4.90 support 1.17x 8 months ago
$4.00 support 1.65x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.22% 0.62% 57.14% 11.83% -29.13%
1 Day -4.59% -3.44% 42.86% 17.31% -46.46%
1 Week 0.75% 2.66% 57.14% 40.93% -39.32%
2 Weeks -0.45% 2.18% 52.38% 43.78% -36.31%
1 Month 1.84% 5.84% 55.00% 40.71% -30.17%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 52.0% 244
Tuesday 0.20% 51.5% 270
Wednesday -0.10% 46.3% 268
Thursday 0.32% 48.7% 261
Friday -0.18% 45.2% 263

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change-75,635,117
% of Float-30.3%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TPG GP A, LLC -$517M 3 3 sell
BLACK DARREN M. -$77.6M 2 2 sell
Burdick Kenneth A -$5.8M 1 1 sell
Shuey Eric -$2.0M 1 1 sell
Miller Lisa K Chief Operating Officer -$519,845.2 1 N/A
Paunovich Vukasin Chief Technology Officer -$481,674.9 1 N/A
DeLuca Teresa -$249,993.43 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-14 5 4 -$281M
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-18 6 5 -$152M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 TPG GP A, LLC -$145M Transaction at $10.62, now +15.6%
2026-08-13 Burdick Kenneth A -$5.8M Transaction at $11.51, now +6.7%
2026-08-14 DeLuca Teresa -$249,993.43 Transaction at $12.23, now +0.4%
2026-05-14 TPG GP A, LLC -$227M Transaction at $8.02, now +53.1%
2026-05-14 BLACK DARREN M. -$47.3M Transaction at $8.02, now +53.1%
2026-03-04 TPG GP A, LLC -$145M Transaction at $7.01, now +75.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lifestance Health Group Inc (LFST) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LFST on Trend Edge →