LAD — Lithia Motors Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Lithia Motors Inc

Lithia Motors, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations. It offers a range of products and services fulfilling the entire vehicle ownership lifecycle, including new and used vehicles, financing and insurance products, and aftersales automotive repair and maintenance services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$283.05
Market Cap$6.26B
Float20.0M
Shares Outstanding22.8M
P/E (Forward)7.77
P/E (TTM)9.58
Price/Sales (TTM)0.17
vs. Analyst Target+31.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.63%
Revenue (TTM)$37.73B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-46.10%
Dividend Rate2.3%
Analyst Target Price$371.73 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $13.13B $470M $2.22B $876M
2021 $22.83B $1.06B $4.26B $1.78B
2022 $28.19B $1.25B $5.15B $2.19B
2023 $31.04B $1.00B $5.23B $2.16B
2024 $36.19B $802M $5.56B $2.26B
2025 $37.63B $820M $5.73B $2.30B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $9.58B $256M
Sep 2025 $9.68B $217M
Dec 2025 $9.20B $137M
Mar 2026 $9.27B $100M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership112.5%
Short Float11.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.95%
Number of Funds Holding407

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$273.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$304.30Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$317.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$287.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$304.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$318.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$297.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$251.00 support 1.03x 0 months ago
$321.00 resistance 1.16x 2 months ago
$337.00 resistance 1.10x 9 months ago
$345.00 resistance 1.20x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (118 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.38% 0.13% 53.39% 9.37% -4.47%
1 Day 1.84% 0.50% 56.78% 122.50% -16.01%
1 Week 3.03% 0.54% 54.24% 168.75% -12.22%
2 Weeks 1.94% -1.24% 44.92% 92.50% -18.18%
1 Month 1.61% 1.47% 52.99% 95.14% -41.44%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%46.7%30
Feb-0.8%50.0%30
Mar-1.2%50.0%30
Apr5.7%53.3%30
May2.8%55.2%29
Jun3.3%58.6%29
Jul6.9%62.1%29
Aug-2.1%41.4%29
Sep-0.4%44.8%29
Oct2.8%55.2%29
Nov3.8%69.0%29
Dec1.5%55.2%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 48.2% 1391
Tuesday 0.15% 49.9% 1520
Wednesday 0.21% 49.7% 1518
Thursday 0.03% 49.5% 1490
Friday 0.15% 48.5% 1483

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 112.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-901
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McIntyre Shauna -$147,207.984 2 2 sell
Miramontes Louis -$81,016.025 1 1 sell
Loretz Congdon Stacy -$46,449.75 2 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 McIntyre Shauna -$72,186.8 Transaction at $294.64, now -3.9%
2025-08-22 Miramontes Louis -$81,016.025 Transaction at $324.06, now -12.7%
2025-07-31 McIntyre Shauna -$75,021.184 Transaction at $293.05, now -3.4%
2026-03-13 Loretz Congdon Stacy -$19,449.75 Transaction at $259.33, now +9.1%
2025-12-12 Loretz Congdon Stacy -$27,000 Transaction at $360.00, now -21.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lithia Motors Inc (LAD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LAD on Trend Edge →