KNTK — Kinetik Holdings Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Kinetik Holdings Inc

Kinetik Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines; and water gathering and disposal services for companies that produce natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGL), and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$49.06
Market Cap$3.69B
Float56.1M
Shares Outstanding73.6M
P/E (Forward)44.44
P/E (TTM)20.00
Price/Sales (TTM)2.16
vs. Analyst Target+5.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.94%
Revenue (TTM)$1.73B
Earnings Growth (YoY)48580.10%
Dividend Rate3.2%
Analyst Target Price$51.64 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $410M -$1.16B $121M -$807M
2021 $662M $1.5M $185M $351M
2022 $1.21B $136M $412M $653M
2023 $1.26B $386M $460M $634M
2024 $1.48B $244M $538M $801M
2025 $1.76B $178M $324M $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $427M $74.4M
Sep 2025 $464M $15.5M
Dec 2025 $430M $143M
Mar 2026 $363M -$5.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.0%
Institutional Ownership97.6%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.43%
Number of Funds Holding282

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$48.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$41.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$46.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$40.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$42.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$47.03Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$40.00 support 1.32x 2 months ago
$51.00 resistance 1.46x 12 months ago
$58.00 resistance 1.61x 13 months ago
$62.00 resistance 1.38x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 46.67% 4.84% -6.65%
1 Day 0.30% 0.27% 56.67% 8.02% -8.99%
1 Week 1.35% 1.32% 60.00% 21.49% -16.92%
2 Weeks 1.90% 2.55% 60.00% 23.69% -18.06%
1 Month 1.42% 1.23% 55.17% 40.37% -47.92%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%50.0%8
Feb-3.7%50.0%8
Mar-5.5%37.5%8
Apr-1.3%50.0%8
May3.5%71.4%7
Jun-4.4%42.9%7
Jul1.2%57.1%7
Aug-5.4%28.6%7
Sep0.2%57.1%7
Oct-4.3%42.9%7
Nov43.2%57.1%7
Dec7.1%50.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 48.6% 354
Tuesday 0.13% 51.7% 389
Wednesday -0.12% 48.1% 387
Thursday 0.39% 49.3% 379
Friday 0.06% 50.5% 380

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$714,047.51
Net Shares Change-1,071,422
% of Float-1.9%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ISQ Global Fund II GP LLC -$233M 4 4 sell
Wall Matthew EVP, Chief Operating Officer -$442,568.39 2 2 sell
Welch Jamie +$276,560 1 1 buy
Stellato Steven EVP, Chief Accounting Officer and Administrative Officer -$136,396.44 1 1 sell
Howard Trevor SVP, Chief Financial Officer -$75,963.48 1 1 sell
Ellis Lindsay General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary -$59,119.2 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-06 5 5 -$180M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 ISQ Global Fund II GP LLC -$27.0M Transaction at $50.52, now -2.9%
2026-04-29 ISQ Global Fund II GP LLC -$18.5M Transaction at $49.03, now +0.1%
2026-03-06 Ellis Lindsay General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary -$59,119.2 Transaction at $46.92, now +4.6%
2026-04-24 ISQ Global Fund II GP LLC -$7.7M Transaction at $48.15, now +1.9%
2026-03-06 Wall Matthew EVP, Chief Operating Officer -$151,176.24 Transaction at $46.92, now +4.6%
2026-03-06 Stellato Steven EVP, Chief Accounting Officer and Administrative Officer -$136,396.44 Transaction at $46.92, now +4.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kinetik Holdings Inc (KNTK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KNTK on Trend Edge →