Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates JOBY Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 25, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 0 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 25 |
| Actionability | 0 (in range) |
Joby Aviation, Inc., an air mobility company, engages in research, develop, test, manufacture, and sale of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft in the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers facilitation of passenger transportation via helicopter or fixed wing aircraft. It is also involved in the provision of government flight services, customer demonstration, and engineering services; and exhibition activi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $5.44 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.73B |
| Float | 669.7M |
| Shares Outstanding | 996.3M |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 49.26 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +96.2% to analyst PT |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -675.18% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $116M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $10.68 (11 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | N/A | -$114M | -$7.4M | -$125M |
| 2021 | N/A | -$180M | -$15.9M | -$172M |
| 2022 | N/A | -$258M | -$24.0M | -$234M |
| 2023 | $1.0M | -$513M | $832,000 | -$482M |
| 2024 | $136,000 | -$608M | $69,000 | -$572M |
| 2025 | $53.4M | -$930M | -$16.1M | -$888M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | $22.6M | -$401M |
| Dec 2025 | $30.8M | -$122M |
| Mar 2026 | $24.2M | -$110M |
| Jun 2026 | $38.6M | -$245M |
| Insider Ownership | 32.3% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 45.3% |
| Short Float | 16.9% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 5.93% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 522 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $6.80 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $9.08 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $10.85 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $7.90 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $8.44 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $10.35 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $8.31 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $8.90 | resistance | 1.53x | 2 months ago |
| $11.80 | resistance | 1.21x | 3 months ago |
| $13.40 | resistance | 1.01x | 8 months ago |
| $4.90 | support | 2.31x | 22 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 1.84% | 2.07% | 70.83% | 12.13% | -4.54% |
| 1 Day | 3.33% | 2.52% | 66.67% | 21.20% | -10.05% |
| 1 Week | 3.34% | -0.50% | 45.83% | 27.42% | -10.55% |
| 2 Weeks | 1.68% | -1.98% | 41.67% | 35.67% | -23.67% |
| 1 Month | 2.62% | -5.21% | 43.48% | 68.44% | -29.11% |
Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (23 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.24% | 46.7% | 276 |
| Tuesday | 0.16% | 46.3% | 307 |
| Wednesday | -0.02% | 45.9% | 305 |
| Thursday | -0.09% | 47.5% | 297 |
| Friday | 0.07% | 47.3% | 296 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 45.3%
Total insider ownership: 32.3%
Founder-led management: JoeBen Bevirt (Founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Architect, President & Director)
| Total Filings | 97 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$45.3M |
| Net Shares Change | -4,054,860 |
| % of Float | -0.6% |
| C-Suite Filings | 90 |
| Clusters Detected | 9 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brumana Rodrigo | Chief Financial Officer | -$1.7M | 2 | 2 sell |
| Allison Eric | Chief Product Officer | -$265,847.41 | 2 | 2 sell |
| Simi Bonny W | President of Operations | -$134,656.94 | 2 | 2 sell |
| Bevirt JoeBen | CEO and Chief Architect | -$93,944.55 | 1 | 1 sell |
| DeHoff Kate | Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary | -$56,971.25 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Bowles Gregory | Chief Policy Officer | -$45,594.85 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Novikov Sergey | Principal Accounting Officer | -$17,641.75 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 – 2026-01-14 | 15 | 8 | -$3.8M | 13 C-suite |
| 2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 | 14 | 7 | -$12.0M | 14 C-suite |
| 2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 | 8 | 7 | -$245,027.949 | 8 C-suite |
| 2026-04-03 – 2026-04-17 | 20 | 7 | -$5.2M | 20 C-suite |
| 2026-05-26 – 2026-06-08 | 6 | 4 | -$8.8M | 4 C-suite |
| 2026-07-06 – 2026-07-17 | 10 | 7 | -$5.6M | 10 C-suite |
| 2026-08-14 – 2026-08-25 | 3 | 3 | -$5.3M | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-09-03 – 2026-09-17 | 3 | 3 | -$4.5M | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-09-23 – 2026-10-06 | 10 | 8 | -$796,430.02 | 9 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Novikov Sergey | Principal Accounting Officer | -$17,641.75 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | Simi Bonny W | President of Operations | -$64,795.5 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | DeHoff Kate | Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary | -$56,971.25 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | Brumana Rodrigo | Chief Financial Officer | -$15,475.95 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | Bowles Gregory | Chief Policy Officer | -$45,594.85 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | Bevirt JoeBen | CEO and Chief Architect | -$93,944.55 | Transaction at $5.95, now -8.6% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Joby Aviation (JOBY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for JOBY on Trend Edge →