JOBY — Joby Aviation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates JOBY Bullish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 21, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction21
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Joby Aviation

Joby Aviation, Inc., an air mobility company, engages in research, develop, test, manufacture, and sale of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft in the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers facilitation of passenger transportation via helicopter or fixed wing aircraft. It is also involved in the provision of government flight services, customer demonstration, and engineering services; and exhibition activi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.72
Market Cap$7.86B
Float662.3M
Shares Outstanding983.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)101.19
vs. Analyst Target+44.0% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-963.38%
Revenue (TTM)$77.7M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.12 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$114M -$7.4M -$125M
2021 N/A -$180M -$15.9M -$172M
2022 N/A -$258M -$24.0M -$234M
2023 $1.0M -$513M $832,000 -$482M
2024 $136,000 -$608M $69,000 -$572M
2025 $53.4M -$930M -$16.1M -$888M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $15,000 -$325M
Sep 2025 $22.6M -$401M
Dec 2025 $30.8M -$122M
Mar 2026 $24.2M -$110M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.6%
Institutional Ownership41.3%
Short Float15.2%
% of All Funds Holding6.01%
Number of Funds Holding494

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.37Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.60 resistance 1.24x 0 months ago
$13.40 resistance 1.01x 5 months ago
$7.70 support 1.83x 12 months ago
$6.50 support 1.32x 13 months ago
$4.90 support 2.31x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.72% 1.95% 69.57% 12.13% -4.54%
1 Day 3.23% 1.85% 65.22% 21.20% -10.05%
1 Week 3.23% -0.90% 43.48% 27.42% -10.55%
2 Weeks 1.88% -1.13% 43.48% 35.67% -23.67%
1 Month 2.21% -5.22% 40.91% 68.44% -29.11%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.24% 47.0% 264
Tuesday 0.19% 46.3% 294
Wednesday 0.08% 46.9% 292
Thursday -0.13% 46.8% 284
Friday 0.14% 48.4% 283

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.6%

Founder-led management: JoeBen Bevirt (Founder, Chief Executive Officer, Chief Architect, President & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings94
Net Value-$44.3M
Net Shares Change-4,060,245
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings87
Clusters Detected10

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Brumana Rodrigo Chief Financial Officer -$1.7M 3 3 sell
Allison Eric Chief Product Officer -$310,347.2 2 2 sell
DeHoff Kate Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary -$264,324.77 2 2 sell
Bevirt JoeBen CEO and Chief Architect -$140,828.96 1 1 sell
Papadopoulos Didier President of Aircraft OEM -$115,415.88 1 1 sell
Simi Bonny W President of Operations -$69,861.44 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-15 – 2025-07-15 3 3 -$6.9M 2 C-suite
2025-08-11 – 2025-08-25 3 3 -$10.0M 2 C-suite
2025-09-16 – 2025-09-24 4 4 -$8.3M 3 C-suite
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-14 8 6 -$9.4M 8 C-suite
2026-01-02 – 2026-01-14 15 8 -$3.8M 13 C-suite
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 14 7 -$12.0M 14 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 8 7 -$245,027.949 8 C-suite
2026-04-03 – 2026-04-17 20 7 -$5.2M 20 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-08 6 4 -$8.8M 4 C-suite
2026-07-06 – 2026-07-06 7 7 -$606,937.092 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Simi Bonny W President of Operations -$69,861.44 Transaction at $8.92, now -13.5%
2026-07-06 Papadopoulos Didier President of Aircraft OEM -$115,415.88 Transaction at $8.92, now -13.5%
2026-07-06 DeHoff Kate Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary -$85,409 Transaction at $8.92, now -13.5%
2026-07-06 Brumana Rodrigo Chief Financial Officer -$23,200.92 Transaction at $8.92, now -13.5%
2026-06-03 Brumana Rodrigo Chief Financial Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $11.77, now -34.4%
2026-07-06 Bevirt JoeBen CEO and Chief Architect -$140,828.96 Transaction at $8.92, now -13.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Joby Aviation (JOBY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JOBY on Trend Edge →