ASLE — AerSale Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ASLE Bearish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 25, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction25
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About AerSale Corp

AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.02
Market Cap$289M
Float30.4M
Shares Outstanding47.3M
P/E (Forward)7.51
P/E (TTM)29.10
Price/Sales (TTM)0.85
vs. Analyst Target+28.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.06%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.72%
Revenue (TTM)$340M
Earnings Growth (YoY)128.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.75 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $209M $8.1M $52.8M $34.1M
2021 $340M $36.1M $119M $61.8M
2022 $409M $43.9M $151M $66.9M
2023 $335M -$5.6M $92.4M $3.1M
2024 $345M $5.9M $104M $30.0M
2025 $335M $8.6M $106M $38.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $107M $8.6M
Sep 2025 $71.2M $1.3M
Dec 2025 $90.9M $5.4M
Mar 2026 $70.6M -$3.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership25.9%
Institutional Ownership61.2%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.58%
Number of Funds Holding130

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.70 resistance 1.05x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -3.66% -1.16% 31.03% 22.40% -22.62%
1 Day -3.33% -0.41% 34.48% 23.21% -25.90%
1 Week -1.62% -0.18% 41.38% 38.47% -21.93%
2 Weeks -0.96% -0.12% 41.38% 43.67% -22.98%
1 Month -0.29% -0.14% 46.43% 32.79% -27.45%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.8%71.4%7
Feb-2.3%57.1%7
Mar-2.6%50.0%8
Apr-1.7%25.0%8
May-2.8%37.5%8
Jun-0.5%62.5%8
Jul1.8%71.4%7
Aug6.6%42.9%7
Sep2.4%42.9%7
Oct5.7%71.4%7
Nov-5.0%28.6%7
Dec3.5%57.1%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.42% 49.6% 347
Tuesday 0.18% 45.5% 382
Wednesday -0.31% 42.6% 378
Thursday 0.07% 46.5% 370
Friday -0.23% 42.5% 369

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 61.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 25.9%

Founder-led management: Nicolas Finazzo (Chief Executive Officer & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$118,862.291
Net Shares Change-15,504
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Finazzo Nicolas Chairman and Chief Executive Officer +$57,628.264 2 2 buy
Jones Gary Edmund Chief Operating Officer and Head of Material Sales -$47,495.187 1 N/A
Garmendia Martin Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer -$38,637.788 1 N/A
Pizzi Enrique Chief Information Officer -$33,260.909 2 N/A
Fedder Judith Ann +$17,869.74 1 1 buy
Tschirhart Benjamin Thomas SVP and Head of Engineered Solutions -$12,463.165 2 N/A
Hechenberger Paul Andrew Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary -$10,055.716 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-11 – 2026-06-11 6 6 -$154,456.048 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-25 Finazzo Nicolas Chairman and Chief Executive Officer +$38,048.48 Transaction at $5.99, now +0.5%
2025-11-21 Finazzo Nicolas Chairman and Chief Executive Officer +$19,579.784 Transaction at $5.99, now +0.4%
2025-08-14 Fedder Judith Ann +$17,869.74 Transaction at $8.51, now -29.3%
2026-06-11 Tschirhart Benjamin Thomas SVP and Head of Engineered Solutions -$11,957.806 Transaction at $6.34, now -5.1%
2026-06-11 Hechenberger Paul Andrew Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary -$10,055.716 Transaction at $6.34, now -5.1%
2026-06-11 Pizzi Enrique Chief Information Officer -$19,794.417 Transaction at $6.34, now -5.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AerSale Corp (ASLE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ASLE on Trend Edge →