INNV — InnovAge Holding Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates INNV Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 32, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About InnovAge Holding Corp

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The company also offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, me… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.10
Market Cap$1.24B
Float32.4M
Shares Outstanding136.5M
P/E (Forward)13.66
Price/Sales (TTM)1.26
vs. Analyst Target+31.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.04%
Revenue (TTM)$990M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-87.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $638M -$44.0M $162M -$5.9M
2022 $699M -$6.5M $135M $9.2M
2023 $688M -$40.7M $101M -$33.9M
2024 $764M -$21.3M $132M $1.2M
2025 $854M -$30.3M $585M $3.4M
2026 $990M -$2.5M $207M $87.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $236M $8.0M
Dec 2025 $240M $10.6M
Mar 2026 $252M -$29.5M
Jun 2026 $262M $8.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership61.3%
Institutional Ownership15.0%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.22%
Number of Funds Holding107

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.31Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.91Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.59Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.03Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.70 resistance 2.34x 0 months ago
$7.30 support 2.00x 3 months ago
$5.60 support 3.49x 7 months ago
$4.60 support 3.42x 10 months ago
$3.80 support 1.02x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.29% 0.70% 56.52% 14.84% -18.88%
1 Day -0.16% -2.00% 43.48% 37.46% -24.89%
1 Week 4.82% 2.73% 65.22% 50.37% -44.98%
2 Weeks 1.81% 0.00% 47.83% 51.11% -39.31%
1 Month 2.22% -0.57% 45.45% 54.77% -42.23%

Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 49.2% 262
Tuesday -0.06% 49.3% 290
Wednesday 0.12% 46.9% 288
Thursday -0.03% 47.0% 281
Friday 0.08% 48.9% 282

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 15.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 61.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$368,881.8
Net Shares Change-30,056,814
% of Float-92.7%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TCO GROUP HOLDINGS, L.P. -$92.5M 1 1 sell
IGNITE AGGREGATOR LP -$92.5M 1 1 sell
DAMATO NICOLE CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$207,181.8 1 N/A
SCARBROUGH MICHAEL ANTHONY President and COO -$161,700 1 1 sell
Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe XII, L.P. +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-09-28 – 2026-09-29 4 4 -$185M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-28 TCO GROUP HOLDINGS, L.P. -$92.5M Transaction at $9.25, now -1.6%
2026-09-28 IGNITE AGGREGATOR LP -$92.5M Transaction at $9.25, now -1.6%
2026-09-28 Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe XII, L.P. +N/A N/A
2025-11-17 SCARBROUGH MICHAEL ANTHONY President and COO -$161,700 Transaction at $4.90, now +85.7%
2026-09-29 DAMATO NICOLE CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$207,181.8 Transaction at $8.70, now +4.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for InnovAge Holding Corp (INNV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for INNV on Trend Edge →