INGR — Ingredion Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates INGR Bearish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 35, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ingredion Incorporated

Ingredion Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of sweeteners, starches, nutrition ingredients, and biomaterial solutions derived from wet milling and processing corn, and other starch-based materials to a range of industries worldwide. The company operates in Texture & Healthful Solutions; Food & Industrial Ingredients"LATAM; and Food & Industrial Ingredients"U.S./CANADA segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$106.13
Market Cap$6.75B
Float62.6M
Shares Outstanding63.1M
P/E (Forward)10.04
P/E (TTM)11.65
Price/Sales (TTM)0.94
vs. Analyst Target+14.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.60%
Revenue (TTM)$7.22B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-40.50%
Dividend Rate3.3%
Analyst Target Price$121.50 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.99B $348M $1.27B $800M
2021 $6.89B $117M $1.33B $542M
2022 $7.95B $492M $1.49B $982M
2023 $8.16B $643M $1.75B $1.17B
2024 $7.43B $647M $1.79B $1.18B
2025 $7.22B $729M $1.83B $1.23B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.83B $196M
Sep 2025 $1.82B $171M
Dec 2025 $1.76B $165M
Mar 2026 $1.79B $142M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership102.2%
Short Float7.5%
% of All Funds Holding6.90%
Number of Funds Holding607

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$101.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$108.59Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$118.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$115.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$107.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$119.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$117.96Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$112.00 resistance 1.40x 2 months ago
$121.00 resistance 1.02x 9 months ago
$129.00 resistance 1.14x 10 months ago
$147.00 resistance 1.29x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.05% 54.39% 8.20% -8.51%
1 Day -0.03% -0.15% 47.37% 13.36% -11.57%
1 Week 0.95% 0.53% 54.39% 29.47% -12.58%
2 Weeks 0.98% 1.41% 61.40% 18.65% -18.60%
1 Month 1.63% 1.92% 60.18% 29.96% -35.22%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.1%44.8%29
Feb0.4%51.7%29
Mar2.0%65.5%29
Apr2.9%58.6%29
May0.2%65.5%29
Jun1.2%44.8%29
Jul0.0%55.2%29
Aug-0.2%57.1%28
Sep-3.0%42.9%28
Oct3.5%60.7%28
Nov2.9%67.9%28
Dec2.3%64.3%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 49.1% 1355
Tuesday 0.17% 53.0% 1482
Wednesday 0.00% 51.1% 1482
Thursday 0.02% 50.7% 1452
Friday 0.11% 52.1% 1445

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$6.7M
Net Shares Change-57,171
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Zallie James P. President and CEO -$6.0M 2 N/A
Fernandes Larry SVP, Chief Comm & Sust Officer -$610,127.71 2 N/A
Fischer David B -$170,039.22 1 1 sell
Gable Davida Marie VP Corp. Controller, Finance -$42,163.125 1 1 sell
Uribe Jorge A. -$31,512.662 3 3 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 Fischer David B -$170,039.22 Transaction at $102.31, now +3.7%
2026-03-19 Gable Davida Marie VP Corp. Controller, Finance -$42,163.125 Transaction at $112.44, now -5.6%
2026-04-02 Uribe Jorge A. -$7,660.88 Transaction at $112.66, now -5.8%
2025-12-10 Uribe Jorge A. -$18,459.995 Transaction at $107.70, now -1.5%
2025-10-02 Uribe Jorge A. -$5,391.786 Transaction at $124.49, now -14.7%
2026-02-19 Zallie James P. President and CEO -$2.0M Transaction at $117.43, now -9.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for INGR on Trend Edge →