HZO — MarineMax Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MarineMax Inc

MarineMax, Inc. operates as a recreational boat and yacht retailer and superyacht services company in the United States. It operates through two segments, Retail Operations and Product Manufacturing. The company sells new and used recreational boats, including pleasure and fishing boats, mega-yachts, yachts, sport cruisers, motor yachts, e-power yachts, pontoon boats, ski boats, jet boats, and other recreational boats. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$34.65
Market Cap$753M
Float19.6M
Shares Outstanding22.0M
P/E (Forward)47.39
Price/Sales (TTM)0.34
vs. Analyst Target+1.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.70%
Revenue (TTM)$2.24B
Earnings Growth (YoY)100.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.29 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.51B $74.6M $399M $119M
2021 $2.06B $155M $659M $225M
2022 $2.31B $198M $806M $285M
2023 $2.39B $109M $835M $201M
2024 $2.43B $38.1M $801M $170M
2025 $2.31B -$31.6M $750M $83.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $657M -$52.1M
Sep 2025 $552M -$854,000
Dec 2025 $505M -$7.9M
Mar 2026 $527M -$2.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.5%
Institutional Ownership91.7%
Short Float16.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.83%
Number of Funds Holding150

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.69Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.22Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$29.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$27.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$26.50 support 1.63x 2 months ago
$22.30 support 1.04x 8 months ago
$21.20 support 1.09x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.70% 0.30% 55.36% 19.93% -8.34%
1 Day 0.30% -0.06% 48.21% 18.90% -15.47%
1 Week 0.73% 0.58% 56.25% 36.32% -49.85%
2 Weeks 0.64% 0.45% 51.79% 30.21% -38.48%
1 Month 1.46% 1.61% 57.66% 59.01% -29.35%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.5%57.1%28
Feb0.4%46.4%28
Mar-1.4%50.0%28
Apr6.7%57.1%28
May-3.1%33.3%27
Jun1.1%55.6%27
Jul2.3%42.9%28
Aug-3.7%39.3%28
Sep-1.8%39.3%28
Oct1.7%53.6%28
Nov4.5%64.3%28
Dec4.2%67.9%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 48.1% 1321
Tuesday 0.17% 47.1% 1444
Wednesday 0.08% 47.2% 1444
Thursday 0.13% 48.8% 1417
Friday 0.03% 47.9% 1410

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.5%

Founder-led management: Bill McGill (Chief Executive Officer and President)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change-60,000
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McGill W Brett CEO and President -$1.7M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-27 McGill W Brett CEO and President -$1.7M Transaction at $27.53, now +25.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MarineMax Inc (HZO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HZO on Trend Edge →