HTH — Hilltop Holdings Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Hilltop Holdings Inc

Hilltop Holdings Inc. provides business and consumer banking services. The company operates through three segments: Banking, Broker-Dealer, and Mortgage Origination. The Banking segment offers savings, checking, interest-bearing checking, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; lines and letters of credit, home improvement and equity loans, loans for purchasing and carrying securities, term, agricultural and commercial real estate, eq… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$37.75
Market Cap$2.18B
Float39.4M
Shares Outstanding58.5M
P/E (Forward)13.50
P/E (TTM)14.19
Price/Sales (TTM)1.73
vs. Analyst Target+5.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.89%
Revenue (TTM)$1.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-1.50%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$39.67 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.16B $448M $1.94B $586M
2021 $1.85B $374M $1.80B $529M
2022 $1.35B $113M $1.21B $189M
2023 $1.50B $110M $1.11B $169M
2024 $1.54B $113M $1.12B $174M
2025 $1.63B $166M $1.27B $221M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $390M $36.1M
Sep 2025 $418M $45.8M
Dec 2025 $411M $41.6M
Mar 2026 $373M $37.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.1%
Institutional Ownership58.4%
Short Float4.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.58%
Number of Funds Holding212

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$37.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$32.92Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$35.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$32.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$31.94Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.40 support 1.29x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.18% 55.06% 7.38% -10.09%
1 Day -0.45% -0.63% 39.33% 9.84% -9.04%
1 Week 0.53% -0.43% 43.82% 30.86% -13.53%
2 Weeks 0.78% 1.11% 57.30% 30.25% -26.22%
1 Month 1.70% 1.33% 56.82% 27.28% -14.66%

Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%40.9%22
Feb0.7%50.0%22
Mar-0.6%52.2%23
Apr0.1%43.5%23
May3.0%54.5%22
Jun0.7%59.1%22
Jul-0.8%45.5%22
Aug0.1%50.0%22
Sep-1.5%18.2%22
Oct2.0%50.0%22
Nov3.5%68.2%22
Dec1.0%54.5%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 45.8% 1049
Tuesday 0.08% 47.7% 1150
Wednesday 0.00% 50.0% 1150
Thursday 0.04% 50.6% 1128
Friday 0.04% 48.6% 1123

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value+$977,066.005
Net Shares Change-221,856
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FORD GERALD J -$9.9M 1 1 sell
SOBEL JONATHAN S Hilltop Securities Chairman +$3.4M 4 4 buy
Winges Martin Bradley Hilltop Securities CEO -$999,939.2 1 1 sell
Bobbitt Rhodes R -$372,500 1 1 sell
Thompson Steve B PrimeLending President and CEO -$359,562.318 1 1 sell
Bornemann Keith E. Chief Accounting Officer -$153,000 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-06 Bornemann Keith E. Chief Accounting Officer -$76,000 Transaction at $38.00, now -0.7%
2026-05-15 Bobbitt Rhodes R -$372,500 Transaction at $37.25, now +1.3%
2025-08-26 SOBEL JONATHAN S Hilltop Securities Chairman +$1.0M Transaction at $34.84, now +8.3%
2025-08-21 SOBEL JONATHAN S Hilltop Securities Chairman +$990,399 Transaction at $33.01, now +14.3%
2025-08-18 SOBEL JONATHAN S Hilltop Securities Chairman +$970,401 Transaction at $32.35, now +16.7%
2026-03-09 FORD GERALD J -$9.9M Transaction at $37.98, now -0.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hilltop Holdings Inc (HTH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HTH on Trend Edge →