HTCO — Caravelle International Group

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HTCO Bearish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 29, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction29
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Caravelle International Group

High-Trend International Group provides ocean transportation services in Singapore, Dubai, South Korea, Japan, India, and rest of Asia. The company offers shipping and logistics support services. It also provides seaborne transportation services under voyage contracts; vessel services on behalf of ship owners; and heating services. The company was formerly known as Caravelle International Group and changed its name to High-Trend International Gro… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.29
Market Cap$13.4M
Float4.2M
Shares Outstanding9.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.05
Profit Margin-5.04%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.65%
Revenue (TTM)$252M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $78.4M -$3.2M -$3.9M -$5.7M
2021 $122M $5.3M $13.0M $10.4M
2022 $185M $12.2M $26.8M $23.8M
2023 $95.3M -$9.3M -$11.9M -$15.6M
2024 $108M -$23.6M $8.1M -$21.0M
2025 $214M -$21.5M $6.7M -$20.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2024 $73.3M -$22.8M
Apr 2025 $99.4M -$13.3M
Oct 2025 $115M -$8.2M
Apr 2026 $137M -$4.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership34.8%
Institutional Ownership1.5%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.07%
Number of Funds Holding6

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.80Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.23Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.00 resistance 4.28x 4 months ago
$30.50 resistance 6.25x 16 months ago
$79.00 resistance 1.71x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (8 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.33% 0.00% 25.00% 5.27% -1.58%
1 Day 0.39% 0.00% 25.00% 19.12% -10.54%
1 Week -5.49% -0.10% 37.50% 0.79% -27.13%
2 Weeks -7.58% -0.31% 37.50% 40.50% -49.53%
1 Month -13.21% 0.54% 62.50% 13.45% -64.98%

Next earnings: April 24, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 1.58% 36.2% 235
Tuesday 0.37% 44.4% 261
Wednesday -0.34% 39.0% 259
Thursday -0.46% 31.7% 252
Friday -0.09% 41.5% 253

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 1.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 34.8%

Founder-led management: Dong Zhang (co-founder)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Caravelle International Group (HTCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HTCO on Trend Edge →