HRL — Hormel Foods Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HRL Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 38, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction38
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Hormel Foods Corporation

Hormel Foods Corporation develops, processes, and distributes various meat, nut, and other food products to foodservice, convenience stores, and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail, Foodservice, and International. The company provides perishable products, including fresh meats, frozen items, refrigerated meal solutions, bacon, sausages, hams, guacamole, and other items that req… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.55
Market Cap$10.99B
Float290.8M
Shares Outstanding550.4M
P/E (Forward)12.85
P/E (TTM)32.19
Price/Sales (TTM)0.90
vs. Analyst Target+32.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.62%
Revenue (TTM)$12.15B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-67.20%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$25.94 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.61B $908M $1.83B $1.34B
2021 $11.39B $909M $1.93B $1.38B
2022 $12.46B $1.00B $2.16B $1.58B
2023 $12.11B $794M $2.00B $1.34B
2024 $11.92B $805M $2.02B $1.37B
2025 $12.11B $478M $1.89B $1.01B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $3.19B -$56.1M
Jan 2026 $3.03B $182M
Apr 2026 $2.97B $157M
Jul 2026 $2.96B $59.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership91.4%
Short Float7.1%
% of All Funds Holding7.04%
Number of Funds Holding619

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.02Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.07Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.86Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.92Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.10 resistance 1.03x 1 months ago
$25.40 resistance 1.01x 6 months ago
$28.30 resistance 1.38x 13 months ago
$30.20 resistance 1.23x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 47.58% 3.86% -5.65%
1 Day 0.00% 0.03% 50.00% 6.49% -10.25%
1 Week 0.40% 0.29% 55.65% 9.42% -8.63%
2 Weeks 0.46% 0.58% 53.23% 14.20% -15.12%
1 Month 0.87% 0.88% 56.45% 15.89% -20.28%

Next earnings: November 15, 2026 (37 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%47.8%46
Feb2.2%60.9%46
Mar1.8%58.7%46
Apr-1.4%38.3%47
May0.5%46.8%47
Jun1.7%59.6%47
Jul0.1%57.4%47
Aug-0.7%51.1%47
Sep0.9%57.4%47
Oct0.9%65.2%46
Nov4.4%73.9%46
Dec2.0%65.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 45.9% 2218
Tuesday 0.12% 48.6% 2407
Wednesday 0.03% 45.6% 2405
Thursday 0.02% 46.2% 2359
Friday 0.09% 49.5% 2343

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-23,600
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bhojwani Gary C. -$495,158.56 1 1 sell
Murano Elsa A -$321,600 1 1 sell
Newlands William A +$201,000 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-10-06 Newlands William A +$201,000 Transaction at $20.10, now -2.7%
2026-07-10 Bhojwani Gary C. -$495,158.56 Transaction at $24.51, now -20.2%
2025-12-15 Murano Elsa A -$321,600 Transaction at $24.00, now -18.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HRL on Trend Edge →