HLT — Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HLT Bullish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 56, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction56
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$326.56
Market Cap$72.76B
Float220.8M
Shares Outstanding225.1M
P/E (Forward)28.74
P/E (TTM)47.40
Price/Sales (TTM)14.26
vs. Analyst Target+8.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.03%
Operating Margin (TTM)62.99%
Revenue (TTM)$5.10B
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.10%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$353.00 (28 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.31B -$715M $583M -$164M
2021 $5.79B $410M $1.66B $1.15B
2022 $8.77B $1.25B $2.70B $2.31B
2023 $10.23B $1.14B $2.93B $2.30B
2024 $11.17B $1.53B $3.06B $2.50B
2025 $12.04B $1.46B $4.95B $2.87B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $3.12B $420M
Dec 2025 $3.09B $297M
Mar 2026 $2.94B $385M
Jun 2026 $3.34B $482M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership96.9%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding14.56%
Number of Funds Holding1,281

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$317.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$318.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$289.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$229.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$317.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$288.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$247.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$248.00 support 1.14x 15 months ago
$227.00 support 1.09x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.06% -0.12% 41.18% 6.44% -2.33%
1 Day -0.19% -0.38% 37.25% 7.80% -4.22%
1 Week -0.14% -0.39% 45.10% 13.84% -9.70%
2 Weeks 0.01% 0.12% 52.94% 12.85% -15.15%
1 Month 0.90% 1.87% 56.00% 17.78% -38.43%

Next earnings: October 27, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%53.8%13
Feb4.9%69.2%13
Mar-2.5%46.2%13
Apr1.5%61.5%13
May1.2%61.5%13
Jun-0.1%53.8%13
Jul2.5%61.5%13
Aug0.9%46.2%13
Sep-0.5%53.8%13
Oct2.7%75.0%12
Nov6.3%83.3%12
Dec1.9%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 50.7% 604
Tuesday 0.10% 52.4% 664
Wednesday 0.18% 51.4% 659
Thursday 0.05% 51.5% 648
Friday 0.11% 53.2% 645

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$33.0M
Net Shares Change5,096
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
NASSETTA CHRISTOPHER J President and Chief Executive Officer -$31.6M 1 1 sell
Fuentes Laura Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer -$1.4M 1 1 sell
Carr Chris -$136,239.26 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-15 Fuentes Laura Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer -$1.4M Transaction at $187.98, now +73.7%
2026-09-15 Carr Chris -$136,239.26 Transaction at $310.34, now +5.2%
2026-02-18 NASSETTA CHRISTOPHER J President and Chief Executive Officer -$31.6M Transaction at $179.44, now +82.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HLT on Trend Edge →