GHG — GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops leased-and-operated, and franchised-and-managed hotels and restaurants in the People's Republic of China. It engages in the food manufacturing business; and provision of information technology services. The company's wholesale business includes sale of prepared meals and frozen foods to supermarkets, distributors, and restaurant franchisees. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.98
Market Cap$96.9M
Float8.1M
Shares Outstanding66.1M
P/E (TTM)96.00
Price/Sales (TTM)0.10
vs. Analyst Target+267.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.24%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.52%
Revenue (TTM)$1.01B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-87.10%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$3.60

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $930M $261M $537M $385M
2021 $1.97B $88.7M $555M $330M
2022 $945M -$425M $351M -$351M
2023 $1.63B $269M $680M $511M
2024 $1.34B $110M $521M $319M
2025 $1.10B $167M $383M $302M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $304M $60.8M
Dec 2025 $215M -$89.5M
Mar 2026 $228M $15.5M
Jun 2026 $234M $20.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership85.6%
Institutional Ownership9.7%
Short Float0.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.11%
Number of Funds Holding10

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.64Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.50Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.40 resistance 1.88x 17 months ago
$2.70 resistance 1.91x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.55% 0.08% 54.55% 7.54% -2.77%
1 Day 0.98% 0.92% 66.67% 10.52% -6.38%
1 Week -0.51% -0.81% 45.45% 25.55% -20.07%
2 Weeks -0.75% -1.42% 39.39% 38.26% -23.86%
1 Month 0.22% -0.89% 45.45% 48.45% -20.53%

Next earnings: April 21, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-6.5%37.5%8
Feb-0.2%62.5%8
Mar-1.1%37.5%8
Apr-3.3%33.3%9
May6.1%55.6%9
Jun-1.2%44.4%9
Jul-1.0%44.4%9
Aug-4.8%44.4%9
Sep-3.9%33.3%9
Oct-7.7%25.0%8
Nov2.2%25.0%8
Dec3.0%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 44.7% 403
Tuesday 0.01% 45.8% 441
Wednesday -0.08% 44.5% 438
Thursday -0.19% 41.1% 431
Friday -0.09% 46.4% 429

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 9.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 85.6%

Founder-led management: Alex S. Xu (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GHG on Trend Edge →