HG — Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as specialty insurance and reinsurance company in Bermuda and internationally. It operates Hamilton Global Specialty, Hamilton Select, and Hamilton Re underwriting platforms. The company offers casualty reinsurance products, such as commercial auto, general liability, healthcare, multiline, personal motor, professional liability, umbrella and excess casualty, and worker's compensa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.61
Market Cap$3.16B
Float47.8M
Shares Outstanding66.5M
P/E (TTM)5.23
Price/Sales (TTM)1.09
vs. Analyst Target+10.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.11%
Revenue (TTM)$2.89B
Earnings Growth (YoY)70.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$33.86 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $740M -$210M $16.1M -$141M
2021 $1.34B $188M $416M $291M
2022 $1.29B -$98.0M $204M $3.9M
2023 $1.62B $259M $547M $289M
2024 $2.38B $400M $931M $661M
2025 $2.74B $577M $1.48B $861M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $754M $187M
Sep 2025 $682M $136M
Dec 2025 $708M $172M
Mar 2026 $754M $134M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.1%
Institutional Ownership83.2%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.47%
Number of Funds Holding203

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$31.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.92Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.80 support 1.44x 2 months ago
$21.40 support 1.11x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (11 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 4.95% 3.85% 90.91% 12.48% 0.00%
1 Day 2.89% 3.79% 63.64% 10.17% -4.00%
1 Week 6.62% 8.64% 63.64% 23.66% -6.64%
2 Weeks 4.58% 7.55% 54.55% 24.05% -8.64%
1 Month 6.54% 9.63% 80.00% 21.01% -10.30%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.17% 49.2% 120
Tuesday 0.35% 55.6% 133
Wednesday 0.31% 51.2% 129
Thursday 0.38% 56.5% 124
Friday -0.20% 41.4% 128

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$5.3M
Net Shares Change-266,344
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Graves Megan Jane CEO, Hamilton Re -$2.4M 1 1 sell
BROWN DAVID A -$1.6M 2 2 sell
Bernhard Keith Donald Group Chief Audit Officer -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Baker Alexander James CEO, Hamilton Global Specialty -$480,637.88 1 1 sell
Krishnamoorthy Venkatanarayanan Group CTO and Group CDO -$455,713.899 1 1 sell
Deegan Brian John Group Chief Accounting Officer -$337,643.9 1 1 sell
Levenson Jonathan B. Group Treasurer -$278,885.85 2 2 sell
COOPER BRADLEY E +$3,069.99 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-14 – 2025-08-18 3 3 -$2.9M 3 C-suite
2026-05-07 – 2026-05-20 5 3 -$2.2M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-15 Levenson Jonathan B. Group Treasurer -$185,955.75 Transaction at $30.61, now +0.0%
2026-05-07 Deegan Brian John Group Chief Accounting Officer -$337,643.9 Transaction at $30.69, now -0.3%
2026-05-11 Levenson Jonathan B. Group Treasurer -$92,930.1 Transaction at $30.67, now -0.2%
2026-04-17 COOPER BRADLEY E +$3,069.99 Transaction at $31.01, now -1.3%
2026-05-20 BROWN DAVID A -$1.2M Transaction at $32.16, now -4.8%
2026-05-19 BROWN DAVID A -$404,116.54 Transaction at $31.82, now -3.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HG on Trend Edge →