GVA — Granite Construction Incorporated

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GVA Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 38, actionability 52. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability52 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Granite Construction Incorporated

Granite Construction Incorporated provides infrastructure solutions for public and private clients in the United States. It operates through Construction and Materials segments. The Construction segment engages in the construction and rehabilitation of roads, pavement preservation, bridges, rail lines, airports, marine ports, dams, reservoirs, aqueducts, infrastructure, and site development for use by the public and water-related construction for… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$118.74
Market Cap$5.49B
Float43.4M
Shares Outstanding43.7M
P/E (Forward)22.12
P/E (TTM)34.22
Price/Sales (TTM)1.35
vs. Analyst Target+42.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.74%
Revenue (TTM)$4.64B
Earnings Growth (YoY)25.10%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$169.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.56B -$145M $345M -$29.3M
2021 $3.50B $10.1M $363M $152M
2022 $3.30B $83.3M $369M $187M
2023 $3.51B $43.6M $396M $171M
2024 $4.01B $126M $573M $352M
2025 $4.42B $193M $711M $498M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.13B $71.7M
Sep 2025 $1.43B $103M
Dec 2025 $1.17B $52.0M
Mar 2026 $912M -$41.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership118.7%
Short Float9.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.57%
Number of Funds Holding376

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$138.15Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$123.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$107.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$74.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$125.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$108.08Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$81.83Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$107.00 support 1.08x 6 months ago
$93.00 support 1.10x 10 months ago
$75.00 support 1.03x 14 months ago
$63.00 support 2.11x 23 months ago
$56.00 support 1.34x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.06% 52.00% 10.97% -23.49%
1 Day 0.53% 0.24% 52.00% 19.05% -25.78%
1 Week 1.94% 1.44% 56.80% 26.10% -31.53%
2 Weeks 2.09% 1.78% 60.00% 30.26% -49.37%
1 Month 3.26% 2.77% 56.45% 58.54% -37.28%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%55.6%36
Feb-0.5%52.8%36
Mar1.2%55.6%36
Apr0.5%47.2%36
May2.1%56.8%37
Jun0.8%51.4%37
Jul-2.4%41.7%36
Aug1.9%58.3%36
Sep1.3%61.1%36
Oct1.2%52.8%36
Nov6.0%66.7%36
Dec2.4%58.3%36

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 46.6% 1719
Tuesday 0.14% 48.8% 1872
Wednesday 0.05% 47.0% 1869
Thursday 0.14% 50.2% 1835
Friday -0.02% 47.5% 1825

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 118.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$9.4M
Net Shares Change-85,211
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Larkin Kyle T President & CEO -$4.5M 1 N/A
Tatusko Michael G Senior Vice President -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Williams Bradley Jay Senior Vice President -$949,494 1 1 sell
Mastin Celeste Beeks -$801,259.29 1 1 sell
Dowd Brian R Senior Vice President -$726,124.703 1 N/A
WOOLSEY STACI M Chief Financial Officer -$569,648.58 2 1 sell
CALDERA LOUIS E -$165,240 1 1 sell
Romer John Timothy +$107,040.075 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-21 – 2025-08-28 3 3 -$608,314 2 C-suite
2026-03-19 – 2026-03-30 5 3 -$6.7M 5 C-suite
2026-06-08 – 2026-06-15 3 3 -$1.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 Romer John Timothy +$107,040.075 Transaction at $142.72, now -16.8%
2026-06-08 Tatusko Michael G Senior Vice President -$1.1M Transaction at $141.00, now -15.8%
2026-06-08 Williams Bradley Jay Senior Vice President -$949,494 Transaction at $141.00, now -15.8%
2025-11-12 WOOLSEY STACI M Chief Financial Officer -$154,500 Transaction at $103.00, now +15.3%
2025-08-21 Tatusko Michael G Senior Vice President -$220,000 Transaction at $110.00, now +7.9%
2025-11-24 Mastin Celeste Beeks -$801,259.29 Transaction at $105.23, now +12.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Granite Construction Incorporated (GVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GVA on Trend Edge →