GSHD — Goosehead Insurance Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Goosehead Insurance Inc

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$41.68
Market Cap$1.47B
Float21.6M
Shares Outstanding23.7M
P/E (Forward)19.76
P/E (TTM)36.29
Price/Sales (TTM)3.85
vs. Analyst Target+61.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.00%
Revenue (TTM)$382M
Earnings Growth (YoY)111.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$67.33 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $117M $9.3M $117M $23.6M
2021 $151M $5.4M $151M $14.0M
2022 $209M $565,000 $209M $17.2M
2023 $261M $14.1M $261M $42.4M
2024 $315M $30.4M $142M $65.0M
2025 $365M $27.8M $169M $85.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $94.0M $5.2M
Sep 2025 $90.4M $7.9M
Dec 2025 $105M $12.4M
Mar 2026 $93.1M $4.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership115.9%
Short Float7.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.47%
Number of Funds Holding203

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$62.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$84.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$71.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$61.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$85.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$76.82Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 resistance 1.28x 1 months ago
$62.00 resistance 2.03x 2 months ago
$83.00 resistance 1.10x 7 months ago
$104.00 resistance 1.38x 9 months ago
$118.00 resistance 1.28x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.68% 0.27% 54.55% 18.01% -30.63%
1 Day 2.59% 0.75% 51.52% 29.21% -17.91%
1 Week 3.68% 1.01% 54.55% 32.60% -27.94%
2 Weeks 3.85% 2.03% 54.55% 39.91% -32.44%
1 Month 3.64% 4.41% 65.63% 33.35% -32.45%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.8%62.5%8
Feb2.4%50.0%8
Mar-10.2%12.5%8
Apr-0.8%62.5%8
May3.6%62.5%8
Jun17.6%62.5%8
Jul13.5%62.5%8
Aug2.8%50.0%8
Sep-3.4%62.5%8
Oct7.4%62.5%8
Nov-3.1%50.0%8
Dec-1.9%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 48.0% 381
Tuesday 0.18% 51.1% 417
Wednesday 0.13% 53.5% 413
Thursday 0.34% 52.5% 406
Friday 0.04% 47.4% 407

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 115.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Founder-led management: Robyn Jones (Co-Founder & Vice Chairman), Mark Jones (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+$1.2M
Net Shares Change-465,020
% of Float-2.2%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mark and Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 -$6.9M 4 4 sell
Miller Mark President and CEO +$546,150 2 2 buy
Goldberg Louis +$250,038.75 1 1 buy
Thornthwaite Martin Ellis General Counsel +$207,500 1 1 buy
O'Connor John Terry General Counsel +$150,801 1 1 buy
Jones Mark E. Jr. President and COO +$99,375 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-28 – 2025-12-03 3 3 -$4.6M 2 C-suite
2026-05-15 – 2026-05-22 5 4 -$5.9M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 Thornthwaite Martin Ellis General Counsel +$207,500 Transaction at $41.50, now +0.4%
2026-05-15 Miller Mark President and CEO +$184,450 Transaction at $36.89, now +13.0%
2026-05-15 Jones Mark E. Jr. President and COO +$99,375 Transaction at $37.50, now +11.1%
2026-02-25 Goldberg Louis +$250,038.75 Transaction at $44.85, now -7.1%
2025-12-01 Miller Mark President and CEO +$361,700 Transaction at $72.34, now -42.4%
2025-11-28 O'Connor John Terry General Counsel +$150,801 Transaction at $71.81, now -42.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GSHD on Trend Edge →