Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates GSHD Bearish with a Setup Score of 68, net conviction 33, actionability 141. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
68
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
33
Actionability
141 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 55.96 vs px 52.96)
Fresh Breakdown — 80wk turn 20w+40wk turn 48w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 78.43 vs px 52.96)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 71.19 vs px 52.96)
Funds Distributing — momZ +2.34 · 2.97→2.47
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.50 · low 6w×1.00 · vs industry
About Goosehead Insurance Inc
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Insurance Brokers
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: April 27, 2018
Headquarters: Building 4, Westlake, TX, United States, 76262
Founder-Led: Yes — Robyn Jones (Co-Founder & Vice Chairman), Mark Jones (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$52.96
Market Cap
$1.88B
Float
21.6M
Shares Outstanding
23.7M
P/E (Forward)
24.21
P/E (TTM)
46.22
Price/Sales (TTM)
4.91
vs. Analyst Target
+23.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
7.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)
16.00%
Revenue (TTM)
$382M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
111.90%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$65.25 (10 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$117M
$9.3M
$117M
$23.6M
2021
$151M
$5.4M
$151M
$14.0M
2022
$209M
$565,000
$209M
$17.2M
2023
$261M
$14.1M
$261M
$42.4M
2024
$315M
$30.4M
$142M
$65.0M
2025
$365M
$27.8M
$169M
$85.9M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$94.0M
$5.2M
Sep 2025
$90.4M
$7.9M
Dec 2025
$105M
$12.4M
Mar 2026
$93.1M
$4.9M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
3.8%
Institutional Ownership
116.4%
Short Float
9.0%
% of All Funds Holding
2.47%
Number of Funds Holding
203
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$41.91
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$55.96
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$78.43
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$71.19
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$55.32
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$78.49
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$76.70
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$35.50
support
1.42x
0 months ago
$53.00
resistance
1.28x
3 months ago
$62.00
resistance
2.03x
4 months ago
$104.00
resistance
1.38x
11 months ago
$118.00
resistance
1.28x
14 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.68%
0.27%
54.55%
18.01%
-30.63%
1 Day
2.59%
0.75%
51.52%
29.21%
-17.91%
1 Week
3.68%
1.01%
54.55%
32.60%
-27.94%
2 Weeks
3.85%
2.03%
54.55%
39.91%
-32.44%
1 Month
3.64%
4.41%
65.63%
33.35%
-32.45%
Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (11 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.8%
62.5%
8
Feb
2.4%
50.0%
8
Mar
-10.2%
12.5%
8
Apr
-0.8%
62.5%
8
May
0.6%
55.6%
9
Jun
20.2%
66.7%
9
Jul
13.5%
62.5%
8
Aug
2.8%
50.0%
8
Sep
-3.4%
62.5%
8
Oct
7.4%
62.5%
8
Nov
-3.1%
50.0%
8
Dec
-1.9%
62.5%
8
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.09%
48.3%
387
Tuesday
0.18%
50.9%
424
Wednesday
0.13%
53.6%
420
Thursday
0.35%
52.8%
413
Friday
0.06%
47.3%
412
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 116.4%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 3.8%
Founder-led management: Robyn Jones (Co-Founder & Vice Chairman), Mark Jones (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Goosehead Insurance Inc
(GSHD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.