GROY — Gold Royalty Corp.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Gold Royalty Corp.

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle to build a portfolio offering near, medium, and longer-term returns for its investors. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.27
Market Cap$727M
Float196.8M
Shares Outstanding230.8M
P/E (Forward)71.43
Price/Sales (TTM)37.00
vs. Analyst Target+83.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-5.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.71%
Revenue (TTM)$19.6M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$140,631 -$45 -$140,580
2021 $191,991 -$17.4M $23,330 -$9.9M
2022 $3.9M -$17.3M $2.2M -$15.6M
2023 $3.0M -$26.8M $1.6M -$7.8M
2024 $10.1M -$3.4M $6.6M $1.9M
2025 $15.6M -$4.1M $11.9M $6.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.8M -$829,000
Sep 2025 $4.1M -$1.1M
Dec 2025 $4.5M -$920,000
Mar 2026 $7.2M $1.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.2%
Institutional Ownership27.6%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.28%
Number of Funds Holding105

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.47Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.75Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.60 resistance 1.08x 1 months ago
$2.70 support 1.68x 8 months ago
$2.30 support 1.17x 9 months ago
$1.90 support 1.86x 10 months ago
$1.50 support 1.48x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.81% 0.00% 42.86% 9.37% -3.15%
1 Day 1.45% 0.67% 57.14% 8.37% -3.42%
1 Week 1.56% -1.34% 47.62% 20.16% -12.99%
2 Weeks 0.25% -3.39% 42.86% 28.69% -17.65%
1 Month 1.11% -1.30% 45.00% 34.26% -19.02%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 44.4% 243
Tuesday -0.12% 43.7% 270
Wednesday -0.02% 40.9% 269
Thursday 0.10% 42.0% 262
Friday 0.13% 46.6% 264

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 27.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.2%

Founder-led management: David Garofalo (Chief Executive Officer, President & Chairman), Andrew Gubbels (Chief Financial Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GROY on Trend Edge →