GRFS — Grifols SA ADR

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GRFS Bullish with a Setup Score of 21, net conviction 32, actionability 14. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score21
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability14 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Grifols SA ADR

Grifols, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of plasma-derived medicines in the United States, Canada, Spain, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Biopharma, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies, and Others. The company offers various hemoderivatives from human plasma for immunology, infectious diseases, hepatology, intensive care, pulmonology, hematology, and neurol… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.09
Market Cap$5.44B
Float836.2M
Shares Outstanding258.2M
P/E (Forward)9.01
P/E (TTM)10.80
Price/Sales (TTM)0.73
vs. Analyst Target+34.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.90%
Revenue (TTM)$7.42B
Earnings Growth (YoY)32.90%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$10.87 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.34B $619M $2.26B $1.42B
2021 $4.93B $189M $1.96B $944M
2022 $6.06B $185M $2.21B $1.19B
2023 $6.59B $42.3M $2.48B $1.17B
2024 $7.21B $157M $2.79B $1.48B
2025 $7.23B $386M $2.58B $1.62B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.87B $127M
Dec 2025 $1.96B $97.3M
Mar 2026 $1.73B $74.2M
Jun 2026 $1.87B $154M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership57.2%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.88%
Number of Funds Holding165

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.10 support 1.39x 0 months ago
$8.90 resistance 1.23x 4 months ago
$6.50 support 1.30x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% 0.00% 47.54% 4.18% -7.06%
1 Day -0.03% 0.06% 50.82% 8.87% -8.82%
1 Week -1.38% -1.15% 36.07% 12.68% -13.57%
2 Weeks -2.53% -2.75% 27.87% 15.92% -18.38%
1 Month -1.54% -2.14% 35.00% 26.48% -18.28%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.0%60.0%15
Feb1.5%53.3%15
Mar-2.8%40.0%15
Apr1.8%53.3%15
May2.0%46.7%15
Jun1.6%46.7%15
Jul3.8%68.8%16
Aug-4.0%20.0%15
Sep-2.0%40.0%15
Oct-0.1%46.7%15
Nov1.6%46.7%15
Dec2.6%66.7%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.3% 718
Tuesday -0.00% 48.8% 787
Wednesday 0.07% 48.6% 784
Thursday -0.05% 50.5% 770
Friday 0.11% 50.6% 769

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Founder-led management: Víctor Grifols i Lucas (Executive Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Grifols SA ADR (GRFS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRFS on Trend Edge →