GRDN — Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc., a pharmacy service company, provides a suite of technology-enabled services to help residents of long-term health care facilities (LTCFs) in the United States. The company's individualized clinical, drug dispensing, and administration capabilities are used to serve the needs of residents in lower acuity LTCFs, such as assisted living facilities, behavioral health facilities, and group homes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$39.12
Market Cap$2.43B
Float32.0M
Shares Outstanding49.8M
P/E (Forward)31.15
P/E (TTM)45.68
Price/Sales (TTM)1.67
vs. Analyst Target+10.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.20%
Revenue (TTM)$1.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)39.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$43.17 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $736M $19.9M $147M $49.1M
2021 $792M $16.3M $161M $46.5M
2022 $909M $35.4M $186M $68.2M
2023 $1.05B $23.9M $208M $58.8M
2024 $1.23B -$87.3M $244M -$43.4M
2025 $1.45B $49.2M $282M $111M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $344M $9.0M
Sep 2025 $377M $9.8M
Dec 2025 $398M $20.9M
Mar 2026 $337M $13.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership37.5%
Institutional Ownership58.2%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.87%
Number of Funds Holding154

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$37.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$31.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.60Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$31.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.10 support 1.96x 1 months ago
$20.90 support 1.46x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.88% -1.01% 42.86% 7.26% -12.85%
1 Day 0.46% -0.85% 42.86% 13.78% -10.73%
1 Week 2.44% -0.85% 28.57% 27.77% -6.18%
2 Weeks 5.84% 4.89% 57.14% 30.94% -16.41%
1 Month 7.70% 2.95% 83.33% 49.09% -23.27%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 37.5%

Founder-led management: Fred Burke (Chief Executive Officer, President & Director), Kendall Forbes (Executive Vice President of Sales & Operations), David Morris (Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$70.8M
Net Shares Change-29,027,201
% of Float-90.7%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Salentine Thomas J Jr -$106M 1 1 sell
Bindley Capital Partners I, LLC -$106M 1 1 sell
BINDLEY WILLIAM E -$106M 1 1 sell
Ackerman John -$32.8M 1 1 sell
Pharmacy Investors, LLC -$24.6M 1 1 sell
Burke Fred President and Chief Executive Officer -$19.9M 1 1 sell
Forbes Kendall Executive Vice President, Sales and Operations -$10.3M 1 1 sell
Cardinal Equity Fund, L.P. -$8.2M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-29 – 2025-05-29 7 7 -$313M 3 C-suite
2026-03-24 – 2026-03-24 9 9 -$419M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-24 Forbes Kendall Executive Vice President, Sales and Operations -$10.3M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%
2026-03-24 Burke Fred President and Chief Executive Officer -$19.9M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%
2026-03-24 Morris David K Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer -$5.6M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%
2026-03-24 Salentine Thomas J Jr -$106M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%
2026-03-24 Bindley Capital Partners I, LLC -$106M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%
2026-03-24 BINDLEY WILLIAM E -$106M Transaction at $29.68, now +31.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRDN on Trend Edge →