GENI — Genius Sports Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Genius Sports Ltd

Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live optical tracking, event data, and video for league's operations; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video fo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.51
Market Cap$1.31B
Float221.0M
Shares Outstanding267.3M
P/E (Forward)56.82
Price/Sales (TTM)1.84
vs. Analyst Target+85.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-22.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)-15.76%
Revenue (TTM)$713M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.19 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $150M -$30.3M $35.7M $14.4M
2021 $263M -$593M -$213M -$542M
2022 $341M -$185M $2.9M -$113M
2023 $413M -$85.5M $69.0M $5.6M
2024 $511M -$63.0M $129M $16.3M
2025 $669M -$112M $154M -$32.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $119M -$53.9M
Sep 2025 $166M -$28.8M
Dec 2025 $240M -$20.6M
Mar 2026 $188M -$55.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.4%
Institutional Ownership88.8%
Short Float7.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.13%
Number of Funds Holding257

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.52Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.06Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.53Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.40 support 1.03x 0 months ago
$6.00 resistance 1.27x 1 months ago
$8.80 resistance 1.48x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.50% 0.59% 52.17% 6.60% -6.52%
1 Day -1.05% -2.13% 39.13% 17.38% -7.95%
1 Week -0.35% -1.55% 47.83% 43.37% -14.73%
2 Weeks -1.39% 2.65% 52.17% 24.72% -22.19%
1 Month -0.53% -4.30% 27.27% 50.74% -29.97%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.20% 44.5% 263
Tuesday -0.06% 44.6% 294
Wednesday 0.39% 49.8% 291
Thursday 0.10% 44.9% 283
Friday 0.02% 47.9% 284

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.4%

Founder-led management: Mark Locke (Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Genius Sports Ltd (GENI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GENI on Trend Edge →