Earnings Tailwind — ER in 23.246d · w1 med 1.0% (mag 1/3) · winRate 57.5% (rel 1/3) · n47
About Freshpet Inc
Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It offers dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and fresh treats under the Dognation and Dog Joy brand names. The company sells its products through a network of company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges, as well as through vari… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Packaged Foods
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: November 7, 2014
Headquarters: 1450 US-206, Bedminster, NJ, United States, 07921
Founder-Led: Yes — Scott Morris (Co-Founder & President), Cathal Walsh (Co-Founder, Senior VP & MD of Europe)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$53.62
Market Cap
$2.73B
Float
48.2M
Shares Outstanding
49.1M
P/E (Forward)
33.22
P/E (TTM)
14.22
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.40
vs. Analyst Target
+51.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
17.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)
1.49%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.20%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$81.31 (19 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$319M
-$3.2M
$133M
$19.2M
2021
$425M
-$29.7M
$162M
$5.8M
2022
$595M
-$59.5M
$186M
-$15.7M
2023
$767M
-$33.6M
$251M
$41.1M
2024
$975M
$46.9M
$396M
$133M
2025
$1.10B
$139M
$425M
$172M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$265M
$16.4M
Sep 2025
$289M
$102M
Dec 2025
$285M
$33.8M
Mar 2026
$298M
$48.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.8%
Institutional Ownership
126.6%
Short Float
19.7%
% of All Funds Holding
3.76%
Number of Funds Holding
309
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$53.05
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$60.91
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$73.94
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$83.70
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$61.21
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$75.56
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$87.44
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$51.00
support
1.03x
0 months ago
$67.00
resistance
1.31x
1 months ago
$83.00
resistance
1.41x
3 months ago
$107.00
resistance
2.69x
15 months ago
$157.00
resistance
2.33x
16 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.76%
-0.28%
48.94%
17.68%
-16.91%
1 Day
1.25%
1.30%
57.45%
28.33%
-16.28%
1 Week
2.29%
1.00%
57.45%
31.03%
-36.62%
2 Weeks
1.27%
1.41%
53.19%
37.10%
-28.38%
1 Month
2.93%
5.66%
65.22%
30.10%
-30.62%
Next earnings: August 3, 2026 (22 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.8%
50.0%
12
Feb
7.0%
75.0%
12
Mar
-2.4%
66.7%
12
Apr
6.8%
75.0%
12
May
1.9%
58.3%
12
Jun
0.2%
50.0%
12
Jul
0.4%
54.5%
11
Aug
1.1%
54.5%
11
Sep
-2.4%
36.4%
11
Oct
0.2%
45.5%
11
Nov
6.0%
72.7%
11
Dec
1.2%
50.0%
12
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.09%
51.7%
549
Tuesday
0.20%
52.3%
604
Wednesday
0.02%
48.1%
601
Thursday
-0.01%
47.8%
588
Friday
0.14%
53.4%
586
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 126.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.8%
Founder-led management: Scott Morris (Co-Founder & President), Cathal Walsh (Co-Founder, Senior VP & MD of Europe)
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