Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates FRPT Bearish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 21, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
36
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
21
Actionability
62 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 63.41 vs px 63.25)
Fresh Breakdown — 40wk recapture 4w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 64.31 vs px 63.25)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 84.10 vs px 63.25)
Funds Distributing — momZ +0.68 · 3.65→3.56
Short Attack — velZ +0.39 · age 84w×0.45 · 17.17%
About Freshpet Inc
Freshpet, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It offers dog food, cat food, and dog treats under the Freshpet brand name; and fresh treats under the Dognation and Dog Joy brand names. The company sells its products through a network of company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges, as well as through vari… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Packaged Foods
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: November 7, 2014
Headquarters: 1450 US-206, Bedminster, NJ, United States, 07921
Founder-Led: Yes — Scott Morris (Co-Founder & President), Cathal Walsh (Co-Founder, Senior VP & MD of Europe)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$64.07
Market Cap
$3.13B
Float
46.9M
Shares Outstanding
48.1M
P/E (Forward)
29.50
P/E (TTM)
17.20
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.66
vs. Analyst Target
+31.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
17.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)
7.11%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.18B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.60%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$84.25 (18 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$319M
-$3.2M
$133M
$19.2M
2021
$425M
-$29.7M
$162M
$5.8M
2022
$595M
-$59.5M
$186M
-$15.7M
2023
$767M
-$33.6M
$251M
$41.1M
2024
$975M
$46.9M
$396M
$133M
2025
$1.10B
$139M
$425M
$172M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$289M
$102M
Dec 2025
$285M
$33.8M
Mar 2026
$298M
$48.5M
Jun 2026
$306M
$19.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.1%
Institutional Ownership
134.0%
Short Float
17.2%
% of All Funds Holding
3.56%
Number of Funds Holding
313
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$66.21
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$63.43
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$64.32
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$84.11
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$64.22
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$64.68
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$87.51
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$83.00
resistance
1.41x
6 months ago
$107.00
resistance
2.69x
18 months ago
$157.00
resistance
2.33x
19 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.83%
-0.30%
47.92%
17.68%
-16.91%
1 Day
1.08%
1.03%
56.25%
28.33%
-16.28%
1 Week
2.28%
1.38%
58.33%
31.03%
-36.62%
2 Weeks
1.32%
1.48%
54.17%
37.10%
-28.38%
1 Month
2.72%
5.21%
63.83%
30.10%
-30.62%
Next earnings: November 2, 2026 (23 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.8%
50.0%
12
Feb
7.0%
75.0%
12
Mar
-2.4%
66.7%
12
Apr
6.8%
75.0%
12
May
1.9%
58.3%
12
Jun
0.2%
50.0%
12
Jul
0.4%
58.3%
12
Aug
2.4%
58.3%
12
Sep
-3.7%
33.3%
12
Oct
0.2%
45.5%
11
Nov
6.0%
72.7%
11
Dec
1.2%
50.0%
12
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.11%
52.0%
561
Tuesday
0.20%
52.2%
617
Wednesday
0.05%
48.2%
614
Thursday
-0.04%
47.4%
601
Friday
0.13%
53.1%
599
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 134.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 2.1%
Founder-led management: Scott Morris (Co-Founder & President), Cathal Walsh (Co-Founder, Senior VP & MD of Europe)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Freshpet Inc
(FRPT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.