FRO — Frontline Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FRO Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 42, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction42
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Frontline Ltd

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$38.13
Market Cap$8.14B
Float142.9M
Shares Outstanding222.6M
P/E (Forward)5.56
P/E (TTM)9.47
Price/Sales (TTM)3.62
vs. Analyst Target+16.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin40.19%
Operating Margin (TTM)51.81%
Revenue (TTM)$2.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1579.70%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$44.25 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.22B $413M $537M $630M
2021 $749M -$15.0M $27.2M $211M
2022 $1.43B $476M $484M $740M
2023 $1.80B $656M $776M $1.07B
2024 $2.05B $496M $706M $1.14B
2025 $1.97B $379M $644M $947M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $480M $77.5M
Sep 2025 $433M $40.3M
Dec 2025 $625M $228M
Mar 2026 $714M $559M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership35.8%
Institutional Ownership35.8%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.69%
Number of Funds Holding221

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$37.35Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.68Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$31.59Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$39.80 resistance 1.76x 3 months ago
$28.00 support 1.10x 4 months ago
$21.30 support 1.19x 5 months ago
$15.10 support 1.22x 14 months ago
$14.60 support 1.92x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.32% 0.22% 51.52% 10.98% -21.66%
1 Day 0.69% 0.70% 58.59% 14.33% -18.77%
1 Week 0.40% 1.09% 51.52% 43.84% -35.85%
2 Weeks 0.27% -1.05% 44.44% 68.38% -35.42%
1 Month 3.15% 2.10% 56.12% 88.24% -44.34%

Next earnings: August 31, 2026 (48 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.1%60.0%25
Feb4.0%60.0%25
Mar-0.5%36.0%25
Apr0.8%44.0%25
May4.4%60.0%25
Jun-2.8%40.0%25
Jul1.4%54.2%24
Aug-2.8%37.5%24
Sep-2.3%56.0%25
Oct1.9%52.0%25
Nov0.7%52.0%25
Dec5.3%52.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 47.4% 1176
Tuesday -0.11% 45.4% 1286
Wednesday 0.09% 50.2% 1286
Thursday -0.06% 48.4% 1260
Friday 0.39% 51.6% 1255

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 35.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 35.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Frontline Ltd (FRO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FRO on Trend Edge →