FNV — Franco-Nevada Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FNV Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 57, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction57
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Franco-Nevada Corporation

Franco-Nevada Corporation operates as a royalty and stream company focused on precious metals in South America, Central America, Mexico, the United States, Canada, Australia, Europe, and Africa. The company operates through Precious Metals, Other Mining and Energy segments. It also manages its portfolio with a focus on precious metals, such as gold, silver, and platinum group metals; and engages in the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$205.52
Market Cap$40.13B
Float193.0M
Shares Outstanding192.9M
P/E (Forward)23.64
P/E (TTM)28.66
Price/Sales (TTM)19.22
vs. Analyst Target+41.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin65.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)79.26%
Revenue (TTM)$2.09B
Earnings Growth (YoY)123.10%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$290.08 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.02B $326M $620M $581M
2021 $1.30B $734M $822M $1.16B
2022 $1.32B $701M $853M $1.12B
2023 $1.22B -$466M $767M -$91.0M
2024 $1.11B $552M $759M $989M
2025 $1.82B $1.11B $1.35B $1.72B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $369M $247M
Sep 2025 $488M $288M
Dec 2025 $597M $368M
Mar 2026 $651M $469M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership85.5%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding7.35%
Number of Funds Holding604

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$220.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$225.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$194.61Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$155.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$224.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$193.50Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$160.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$226.00 resistance 1.29x 0 months ago
$283.00 resistance 1.34x 3 months ago
$158.00 support 1.76x 14 months ago
$145.00 support 1.43x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.27% 0.26% 57.53% 2.93% -4.18%
1 Day 0.76% 0.52% 61.64% 7.06% -6.24%
1 Week 1.17% 0.51% 56.16% 20.74% -10.30%
2 Weeks 1.41% 1.29% 53.42% 21.48% -13.00%
1 Month 1.91% 1.69% 58.33% 22.66% -18.25%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%57.9%19
Feb2.9%42.1%19
Mar0.8%52.6%19
Apr4.4%68.4%19
May2.5%42.1%19
Jun0.6%36.8%19
Jul2.7%66.7%18
Aug0.5%44.4%18
Sep-1.7%38.9%18
Oct-0.4%44.4%18
Nov0.3%44.4%18
Dec0.3%44.4%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 49.7% 877
Tuesday 0.05% 52.2% 960
Wednesday 0.14% 52.2% 959
Thursday 0.09% 51.9% 940
Friday 0.13% 51.1% 934

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Pierre Lassonde (Co-Founder & Chair Emeritus)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FNV on Trend Edge →