FN — Fabrinet

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Fabrinet

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$686.90
Market Cap$25.20B
Float35.8M
Shares Outstanding35.8M
P/E (Forward)12.82
P/E (TTM)60.26
Price/Sales (TTM)5.95
vs. Analyst Target+9.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.89%
Revenue (TTM)$4.24B
Earnings Growth (YoY)53.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$749.11 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.64B $113M $186M $153M
2021 $1.88B $148M $221M $188M
2022 $2.26B $200M $279M $246M
2023 $2.65B $248M $336M $305M
2024 $2.88B $296M $356M $360M
2025 $3.42B $333M $413M $409M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $910M $87.2M
Sep 2025 $978M $93.0M
Dec 2025 $1.13B $113M
Mar 2026 $1.21B $125M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership113.3%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding7.53%
Number of Funds Holding619

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$662.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$500.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$370.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$246.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$497.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$367.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$271.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$486.00 support 1.16x 2 months ago
$172.00 support 1.30x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (64 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.62% 3.61% 65.63% 31.72% -17.76%
1 Day 2.41% 2.56% 53.13% 31.58% -18.41%
1 Week 3.23% 2.82% 60.94% 34.83% -28.59%
2 Weeks 3.56% 2.82% 65.63% 31.79% -22.55%
1 Month 4.75% 3.45% 61.90% 40.71% -22.75%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%62.5%16
Feb5.0%68.8%16
Mar-2.3%43.8%16
Apr-0.1%37.5%16
May2.7%73.3%15
Jun7.1%80.0%15
Jul0.6%56.3%16
Aug4.1%62.5%16
Sep2.9%43.8%16
Oct-0.5%43.8%16
Nov10.4%81.3%16
Dec3.2%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 53.4% 749
Tuesday 0.28% 49.4% 824
Wednesday 0.04% 49.5% 820
Thursday 0.14% 52.3% 805
Friday 0.16% 51.7% 804

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 113.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

Founder-led management: David T. Mitchell (Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$32.8M
Net Shares Change-116,817
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Grady Seamus Chief Executive Officer -$13.2M 2 2 sell
Gill Harpal PRESIDENT and COO -$5.0M 1 1 sell
Sverha Csaba Chief Financial Officer -$4.5M 1 1 sell
Bahrami Homa -$3.4M 2 2 sell
Archer Edward T. EVP, Sales and Marketing -$2.3M 2 2 sell
KELLY THOMAS F -$2.2M 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-26 – 2025-09-08 9 6 -$21.8M 6 C-suite
2025-12-01 – 2025-12-05 5 4 -$13.1M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-22 Bahrami Homa -$1.8M Transaction at $711.91, now -3.5%
2026-02-27 KELLY THOMAS F -$1.2M Transaction at $623.85, now +10.1%
2025-12-01 Grady Seamus Chief Executive Officer -$10.0M Transaction at $446.95, now +53.7%
2025-12-05 KELLY THOMAS F -$1.0M Transaction at $464.14, now +48.0%
2025-12-01 Bahrami Homa -$1.6M Transaction at $453.75, now +51.4%
2025-09-04 Gill Harpal PRESIDENT and COO -$5.0M Transaction at $355.15, now +93.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fabrinet (FN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FN on Trend Edge →