FMX — Fomento Economico Mexicano

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FMX Bullish with a Setup Score of 23, net conviction 44, actionability 12. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score23
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction44
Actionability12 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Fomento Economico Mexicano

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a franchise bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages worldwide. The company operates through Coca-Cola FEMSA, Proximity Americas Division, Proximity Europe Division, Health Division, Fuel Division, and Others segments. It produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$122.91
Market Cap$40.44B
Float334.9M
Shares Outstanding340.7M
P/E (Forward)89.29
P/E (TTM)23.14
Price/Sales (TTM)0.05
vs. Analyst Target+9.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.00%
Revenue (TTM)$872.84B
Earnings Growth (YoY)107.50%
Dividend Rate5.9%
Analyst Target Price$134.54 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $492.97B -$1.93B $189.65B $54.70B
2021 $505.46B $28.50B $206.18B $69.95B
2022 $597.01B $23.91B $241.52B $91.95B
2023 $702.69B $65.69B $279.51B $72.18B
2024 $37.49B $1.28B $15.42B $4.20B
2025 $46.65B $1.08B $18.95B $6.40B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $11.52B $130M
Dec 2025 $12.03B $466M
Mar 2026 $11.62B $829M
Jun 2026 $231.00B $5.54B

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership48.8%
Short Float0.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.89%
Number of Funds Holding342

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$125.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$114.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$106.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$105.27Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$114.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$105.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$108.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$119.00 support 1.18x 1 months ago
$87.00 support 1.32x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (108 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.03% 50.93% 3.28% -3.03%
1 Day -0.44% -0.04% 45.37% 5.34% -12.10%
1 Week 0.41% -0.32% 48.15% 21.02% -15.47%
2 Weeks 0.37% 0.22% 50.93% 20.68% -16.79%
1 Month 2.09% 1.25% 55.14% 38.85% -20.33%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (49 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%50.0%28
Feb2.7%60.7%28
Mar4.2%78.6%28
Apr1.7%57.1%28
May0.1%50.0%28
Jun1.9%55.2%29
Jul-0.2%48.3%29
Aug-2.6%32.1%28
Sep-0.9%60.7%28
Oct0.7%42.9%28
Nov2.4%67.9%28
Dec3.5%67.9%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 48.5% 1336
Tuesday 0.08% 51.3% 1461
Wednesday 0.10% 50.7% 1461
Thursday 0.02% 49.3% 1433
Friday 0.11% 53.0% 1424

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 48.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-416,423
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
garza garza Alfonso -$4.5M 2 2 sell
KAHN MICHAEL DAVID +$248,073 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 KAHN MICHAEL DAVID +$248,073 Transaction at $118.13, now +4.0%
2026-04-09 garza garza Alfonso -$2.3M Transaction at $11.02, now +1015.1%
2026-03-25 garza garza Alfonso -$2.2M Transaction at $10.43, now +1078.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FMX on Trend Edge →